Foreign Military Relations:
In the early 2000s, Uzbekistan has focused its military relations on
bilateral links rather than commitments to multilateral organizations. It has sought to balance
such links among the competing interests in the region. In 2000 Uzbekistan signed a bilateral
military agreement with Turkey, implicitly to discourage Russian hegemony in Central Asia. In
2002 a strategic partnership agreement with the United States aimed at post–September 11
cooperation against Islamic extremism, but that agreement required domestic reforms that
Uzbekistan did not carry out. The subsequent establishment in Uzbekistan of a U.S. base for
operations in Afghanistan improved bilateral relations, but the extension of that arrangement
increased apprehension among Uzbekistan’s neighbors and in Iran and Russia. The United States
vacated its base and severed military relations in 2005 following the Andijon riots and
curtailment of the base agreement by the Karimov government. In 2004 Uzbekistan signed a
comprehensive strategic partnership with Russia, continuing the rapprochement of the two
countries that began in 2003 and shifting Uzbekistan’s military policy away from Western
alliances. Late in 2005, a mutual security agreement with Russia created conditions for the
basing of Russian forces in Uzbekistan, although no timetable was established. Uzbekistan also
moved closer to Russia by signing the Collective Security Treaty of the Commonwealth of
Independent States (CIS), a move it previously had eschewed. In the early 2000s, bilateral
military negotiations with China sought a second linkage with a major regional power.
Uzbekistan has discussed multilateral security arrangements with the other members of the
Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO, including China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia,
and Tajikistan).
External Threat:
As the dominant military power in its region, Uzbekistan faces no
conventional military threats. The major external security concern is the Islamic groups that have
sworn to replace the secular government of Uzbekistan with an Islamic state. This genuine threat
also has been a pretext for increased domestic repression by the Karimov regime. In 1999 and
2000, the Uzbekistani military repulsed (with difficulty) guerrilla forces of the Islamic
Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) as they attempted to move into Uzbekistan. In 2001–2, the IMU
suffered severe losses in Afghanistan, and its known terrorist activities since 2001 have been
outside Uzbekistan. However, in 2006 IMU activity reportedly resurfaced in the Kyrgyzstani and
Tajikistani regions of the Fergana Valley, very close to Uzbekistan.
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