The McGraw-Hill Series Economics essentials of economics brue, McConnell, and Flynn Essentials of Economics


Hypothesis Testing in Multiple Regression: General Comments



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8.2
Hypothesis Testing in Multiple Regression: General Comments
Once we go beyond the simple world of the two-variable linear regression model, hypoth-
esis testing assumes several interesting forms, such as the following:
1. Testing hypotheses about an individual partial regression coefficient (Section 8.3).
2. Testing the overall significance of the estimated multiple regression model, that is, find-
ing out if all the partial slope coefficients are simultaneously equal to zero (Section 8.4).
guj75772_ch08.qxd 12/08/2008 10:03 AM Page 234


Chapter 8
Multiple Regression Analysis: The Problem of Inference
235
3. Testing that two or more coefficients are equal to one another (Section 8.5).
4. Testing that the partial regression coefficients satisfy certain restrictions (Section 8.6).
5. Testing the stability of the estimated regression model over time or in different cross-
sectional units (Section 8.7).
6. Testing the functional form of regression models (Section 8.8).
Since testing of one or more of these types occurs so commonly in empirical analysis, we
devote a section to each type.
8.3
Hypothesis Testing about Individual Regression Coefficients
If we invoke the assumption that 
u
i

N
(0,
σ
2
), then, as noted in Section 8.1, we can use
the 
t
test to test a hypothesis about any 
individual
partial regression coefficient. To illustrate
the mechanics, consider the child mortality regression, Eq. (8.1.4). Let us postulate that
H
0
:
β
2
=
0
and
H
1
:
β
2
=
0
The null hypothesis states that, with 
X
3
(female literacy rate) held constant,
X
2
(PGNP)
has no (linear) influence on 
Y
(child mortality).
2
To test the null hypothesis, we use the 
t
test
given in Eq. (8.1.2). Following Chapter 5 (see Table 5.1), if the computed 
t
value exceeds
the critical 
t
value at the chosen level of significance, we may reject the null hypothesis;
otherwise, we may not reject it. For our illustrative example, using Eq. (8.1.2) and noting
that 
β
2
=
0 under the null hypothesis, we obtain
t
=

0
.
0056
0
.
0020
= −
2
.
8187
(8.3.1)
as shown in Eq. (8.1.4).
Notice that we have 64 observations. Therefore, the degrees of freedom in this example
are 61 (why?). If you refer to the 
t
table given in 

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