desirable be financed by the government and the government effectively
perform its core functions in the
economy while withdrawing from, or
drastically reducing its role in, many secondary activities.
Budgets and Fiscal Policy
Budgets are systems used by governments and organizations to indicate
planned expenditures and revenues for a given year. Budgets are in surplus or
deficit depending on whether the government has revenues greater or less than
its expenditures. Fiscal policy refers to taxation and expenditure policies. In this
connection, the modern economy is blessed with important “built-in
stabilizers”. Requiring
no discretionary action, tax receipts change
automatically when income
changes, reducing the multiplier and offsetting part of any disturbance. The
same stabilizing effect is produced by unemployment compensation and other
welfare transfers that grow automatically as income falls. Automatic stabilizers
never fully offset the instabilities of an economy.
They reduce the multiplier,
but do not make it zero. Scope is left for discretionar programs. Discretionary
policies include public works, jobs programs, and various tax programs. Public
works involve such long time lags in getting under way as to make their use for
combating short recessions impractical. Discretionary variations in tax rates
offer greater short-run flexibility but suffer from severe political complications
in the United Stales. Most macroeconomists believe that monetary policy is
more useful than fiscal policy for combating the short-term fluctuations of the
business cycle. When people began to drop the notion that the government’s
budget had to be balanced in everу year or month, they first thought it would be
balance over the business cycle – with boom-time surpluses matching
depression deficits. Today, we realize that only
by coincidence would the
surplus in prosperous years just balance deficits in recession year. To get a
better measure of changes in discretionary fiscal policy, economists
supplement knowledge of the budget by separating
the actual budget into its
structural and cyclical components. The structural budget calculates how much
the government would collect and spend if the economy were operating at
potential output. The cyclical budget accounts for the impact of the business
cycle on tax revenues,
expenditures, and the deficit. To assess the impact of
usual policy on the economy, we should pay close attention to the structural
deficit: changes in the cyclical deficit are a result
of changes in the economy
rather than a cause of changes in the economy.
__
Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: