Microsoft Word Kurzweil, Ray The Singularity Is Near doc



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Kurzweil, Ray - Singularity Is Near, The (hardback ed) [v1.3]

 That's going to be silicon intelligence, not biological intelligence. 
R
AY
:
 
Well, yes, we're going to transcend biological intelligence. We'll merge with it first, but ultimately the 
nonbiological portion of our intelligence will predominate. By the way, it's not likely to be silicon, but 
something like carbon nanotubes. 
B
ILL
:
 Yes, I understand—I'm just referring to that as silicon intelligence since people understand what that means. But 
I don't think that's going to be conscious in the human sense. 
R
AY
:
 
Why not? If we emulate in as detailed a manner as necessary everything going on in the human brain and body 
and instantiate these processes in another substrate, and then of course expand it greatly, why wouldn't it be 
conscious? 
B
ILL
:
 Oh, it will be conscious. I just think it will be a different type of consciousness. 
R
AY
:
 
Maybe this is the 1 percent we disagree on. Why would it be different? 
B
ILL
:
 Because computers can merge together instantly. Ten computers—or one million computers—can become one 
faster, bigger computer. As humans, we can't do that. We each have a distinct individuality that cannot be 
bridged. 
R
AY
:
 
That's just a limitation of biological intelligence. The unbridgeable distinctness of biological intelligence is not a 
plus. "Silicon" intelligence can have it both ways. Computers don't have to pool their intelligence and 
resources. They can remain "individuals" if they wish. Silicon intelligence can even have it both ways by 
merging and retaining individuality—at the same time. As humans, we try to merge with others also, but our 
ability to accomplish this is fleeting. 
B
ILL
:
 Everything of value is fleeting. 
R
AY
:
 
Yes, but it gets replaced by something of even greater value. 
B
ILL
:
 True, that's why we need to keep innovating. 
The Vexing Question of Consciousness 
If you could blow the brain up to the size of a mill and walk about inside, you would not find consciousness. 
—G.
W.
L
EIBNIZ
Can one ever remember love? It's like trying to summon up the smell of roses in a cellar. You might see a 
rose, but never the perfume. 
—A
RTHUR 
M
ILLER

At one's first and simplest attempts to philosophize, one becomes entangled in questions of whether when one 
knows something, one knows that one knows it, and what, when one is thinking of oneself, is being thought 
about, and what is doing the thinking. After one has been puzzled and bruised by this problem for a long time, 
one learns not to press these questions: the concept of a conscious being is, implicitly, realized to be different 
from that of an unconscious object. In saying that a conscious being knows something, we are saying not only 
that he knows it, but that he knows that he knows it, and that he knows that he knows that he knows it, and so 
on, as long as we care to pose the question: there is, we recognize, an infinity here, but it is not an infinite 
regress in the bad sense, for it is the questions that peter out, as being pointless, rather than the answers. 
—J.
R.
L
UCAS
,
O
XFORD 
P
HILOSOPHER
,
IN HIS 
1961
ESSAY 
"M
INDS
,
M
ACHINES
,
AND 
G
ÖDEL
"
9
Dreams are real while they last; can we say more of life? 
—H
AVELOCK


Will future machines be capable of having emotional and spiritual experiences? We have discussed several scenarios 
for a nonbiological intelligence to display the full range of emotionally rich behavior exhibited by biological humans 
today. By the late 2020s we will have completed the reverse engineering of the human brain, which will enable us to 
create nonbiological systems that match and exceed the complexity and subtlety of humans, including our emotional 
intelligence. 
A second scenario is that we could upload the patterns of an actual human into a suitable non biological, thinking 
substrate. A third, and the most compelling, scenario involves the gradual but inexorable progression of humans 
themselves from biological to nonbiological. That has already started with the benign introduction of devices such as 
neural implants to ameliorate disabilities and disease. It will progress with the introduction of nanobots in the 
bloodstream, which will be developed initially for medical and antiaging applications. Later more sophisticated 
nanobots will interface with our biological neurons to augment our senses, provide virtual and augmented reality from 
within the nervous system, assist our memories, and provide other routine cognitive tasks. We will then be cyborgs, 
and from that foothold in our brains, the nonbiological portion of our intelligence will expand its powers 
exponentially. As I discussed in chapters 2 and 3 we see ongoing exponential growth of every aspect of information 
technology, including price-performance, capacity, and rate of adoption. Given that the mass and energy required to 
compute and communicate each bit of information are extremely small (see chapter 3), these trends can continue until 
our nonbiological intelligence vastly exceeds that of the biological portion. Since our biological intelligence is 
essentially fixed in its capacity (except for some relatively modest optimization from biotechnology), the 
nonbiological portion will ultimately predominate. In the 2040s, when the nonbiological portion will be billions of 
times more capable, will we still link our consciousness to the biological portion of our intelligence? 
Clearly, nonbiological entities will claim to have emotional and spiritual experiences, just as we do today. They—
we—will claim to be human and to have the full range of emotional and spiritual experiences that humans claim to 
have. And these will not be idle claims; they will evidence the sort of rich, complex, and subtle behavior associated 
with such feelings. 
But how will these claims and behaviors—compelling as they will be—relate to the subjective experience of 
nonbiological humans? We keep coming back to the very real but ultimately unmeasurable (by fully objective means) 
issue of consciousness. People often talk about consciousness as if it were a clear property of an entity that can readily 
be identified, detected, and gauged. If there is one crucial insight that we can make regarding why the issue of 
consciousness is so contentious, it is the following: 

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