Shadow price:
one that is applied where there is no
recognised market price available.
KEY TERM
Scarcity and choice:
Cost–benefit analysis is a well-used
technique for dealing with the fundamental economic
problem in situations where the market mechanism is an
inappropriate way of allocating scarce resources. It forms
the basis for decision making by governments, especially
in the context of public goods.
KEY CONCEPT LINK
TOP TIP
CBA is best viewed as a guide to decision making; the
final decision invariably will depend on funds that are
available in relation to competing alternatives.
The framework of cost–benefit analysis
Whatever the problem under investigation, there are four
main stages in the development of a cost–benefi t analysis.
Th
ese are shown in
Figure 6.8
.
Th
e fi rst stage is to identify all of the relevant costs and
benefi ts arising out of any particular project. Th
is involves
establishing what are the private costs, the private benefi ts,
the external costs and the external benefi ts. On the surface
this may seem a relatively simple task. In reality, and with
a little more thought, it is not so easy. Th
ere are particular
problems when it comes to identifying external costs and
benefi ts. Th
ese are oft en controversial, not easy to defi ne
in a discrete way and have the added diffi
culty that it is not
always possible to draw the line in terms of a physical or
geographical cut-off . Th
e spillover eff ects of a new retail
development or rail route, for example, are wide-reaching
and aff ect people and communities beyond the immediate
vicinity of the proposed development.
Th
e second stage involves putting a monetary value
on the various costs and benefi ts. Th
is is relatively
straightforward where market prices are available. For
example, in the case of a new retail development, a
monetary value can be put on the jobs created or the
increased profi ts arising from the development. For other
variables, however, a monetary value must be attributed
for costs and benefi ts where no market prices are available.
Th
is particular measurement diffi
culty has occupied
economists for thousands of hours over the years. It
has also been a very controversial matter in situations
where cost–benefi t analysis has come under close public
scrutiny. A particularly good example of this is the issue of
valuation of time, especially travel time savings. Another
relevant example is how to put a monetary value on the
cost of accidents, particularly where serious injuries or a
loss of life is involved.
Th
e third stage applies in situations where projects have
longer-term implications that stretch well into the future.
Here, economists have to employ statistical forecasting
techniques, sometimes of a very crude nature, to estimate
costs and benefi ts over many years. Th
is particularly applies
to proposed projects where massive capital expenditure is
involved.
Th
e fi nal stage is where the results of the earlier stages
are drawn together so that the outcome can be presented
in a clear manner in order to aid decision making. Th
e
important principle here is that if the value of benefi ts
exceeds the value of the costs, then the particular project
Identification
of all relevant costs
and benefits
Putting a
monetary
value
on all relevant
costs and benefits
Forecasting
future
costs and benefits
(where appropriate)
Decision making
– the
interpretation of the
results from CBA
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