The eff ectiveness of fiscal policy
Fiscal policy measures may alter a country’s current
account position in the short term but are unlikely
to be a long-term solution. Th
is is because once
the policy measures are stopped, households and
fi rms are likely to go back to spending the same
amount on imports relative to the amount of export
revenue earned.
Raising taxes may also have adverse side eff ects.
Th
ey lower demand, which may increase unemployment
and slow economic growth. Higher taxation can
also create disincentive eff ects and so may reduce
aggregate supply.
Imposing tariff s against fellow members of a trade
bloc is not an option. Imposing or increasing tariff s
against other countries involves two risks. One is that
it may provoke retaliation and the other is that it may
reduce the pressure on domestic fi rms to become more
effi
cient.
Equilibrium and eff iciency:
In considering how
domestic firms respond to being protected from foreign
competition it is useful to make use of the key concept of
eff iciency. Domestic firms may feel less pressure to seek
to be productively, allocatively and dynamically eff icient
if imports become more expensive due to the imposition
of tariff s.
KEY CONCEPT LINK
Monetary policy
Reducing the growth of the money supply may be used as
an expenditure dampening or an expenditure switching
measure. Changing the rate of interest to infl uence the
current account position is a more complex process. If an
economy has a low rate of infl ation and a current account
defi cit, its central bank may reduce the interest rate in
a bid to put downward pressure on a fl oating exchange
rate. A lower exchange rate may result in the country’s
products becoming more internationally competitive but
there is a risk it may generate infl ationary pressure. In
contrast, a higher interest rate may act as a dampening
policy measure, reducing demand for imports and
reducing infl ationary pressure. It may, however, raise
a fl oating exchange rate that could reverse the fall in
demand for imports.
A government may decide to alter its exchange rate
as an expenditure switching measure. If an economy
is experiencing a current account surplus and has a
fi xed exchange rate, the government may decide to
revalue its currency. Raising the foreign exchange rate,
as mentioned in
Chapter 4
, will raise export prices and
lower import prices. In the case of a current account
defi cit, a government may consider devaluing the
currency. In this case, export prices will fall and import
prices will rise.
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