SELF-ASSESSMENT TASK
2.24
Rising global food prices
In 2009, the World Bank reported that global food prices
had almost doubled since 2005 and were forecast to
continue to increase. The price of wheat especially had
increased at an alarming rate of around 200% from 2008
to the end of 2009. The prices of maize (corn) and rice had
also escalated.
In November 2009, the Indian government reported
that annual food price inflation was over 21%;
the price
of pulses had risen by over 30%, as had sugar prices. In
Pakistan, food prices had also increased at a record rate
amid claims of hoarding by grain processors and retailers.
Normally, price changes for cereals can be attributed
to short-term variations in supply caused by disruptive
weather conditions. This was not so for the latest set
of price increases, which were caused largely by
demand-side factors that included:
■
the rising demand for
meat in the booming
economies of China and India; large quantities of
grain are needed to feed animals, driving up prices
■
a fall in domestic food production by increasingly
aff luent families in these countries.
■
the increased demand for biofuels, especially in
the
USA and parts of Europe, which has resulted in
harvests being diverted from food processing to fuel
processing factories, particularly for sugar cane and
maize.
Supply side factors have exaggerated price increases and
include:
■
extreme weather conditions in 2008 and 2009, such
as prolonged drought in parts of India,
Australia and
southern Africa and unexpected frosts in parts of
China, which had resulted in poor harvests; Europe’s
grain harvest was also aff ected by poor weather
■
global stockpiles of grains were at a record low level,
meaning that supplies could not be released onto the
market to reduce price volatility.
In India, the problems of small farmers have been
aggravated by the government’s
attempts to control
prices. When domestic prices are rising, the government
restricts export sales; when prices fall, farmers are paid
subsidies. These actions seek to protect the interests of
consumers and farmers alike.
Because of uncertainty,
many small sugar farmers abandoned sugar in 2008
when prices fell by 40%. In 2009 and early 2010, sugar
prices surged. The obvious response would be for
farmers to revert to sugar in the hope that high prices
will persist.
Rising food prices have had a heavy impact on the poor in
countries such as Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and those
in sub-Saharan Africa. For people
who have to live on less
than $1 a day, the rising price of food is devastating and
can aff ect rural as well as urban communities. There have
been riots in West Bengal in protest against subsidised
food being sold on the informal market. In Senegal,
Mauritania and in other parts of Africa, there have also
been protests over rising food prices.
The World Bank has identified 36
countries where there
are grave concerns over food security; 21 are in Africa,
including Sierra Leone, which lacks access to food from
local markets due to its low level of income and the high
prices of imported food.
Th
e following feature demonstrates how knowledge of demand, supply and the price
mechanism can be applied in
order to explain the global problem of rising food prices, particularly in the world’s poorest economies in Africa and
Asia. Read the feature and then answer the questions that follow.
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