6.3 Quantity Theory of Money (QTM) Approach
The concept of the quantity theory of money began in the 16
th
century. As gold and silver
inflows from the American into Europe were being minted into coins, there was a resulting
rise in inflation (because more minted coins means more supply of money and more supply
of money leads to increase in price of commodity, which result into inflation.) This led
economist Henry Thornton in 1802 to assume that more money equals more inflation and that
an increase in money supply does not necessarily mean an increase in output. The QTM
states that there is a direct relationship between the quantity of money in an economy and the
level of prices of goods and services sold. Another way to understand the QTM is to
recognise that money is like any other commodity: increases in its supply decreases its
marginal value (or the purchasing capacity of one unit of currency). So an increase in money
supply causes prices to rise (inflation) and when prices of commodity rises, the value of
currency decreases. The quantity theory of money was developed by the classical economists
over 100 years ago, related the amount of money in the economy to nominal income. The
quantity theory of money was first propounded by an Italian economist, Davanzatti in 1588.
Classical economists like David Ricardo, David Hume and J. S. Mill have improved this
theory. The credit for popularising this theory goes to American economist, Irving Fisher.
Say’s law (supply creates its own demand) of markets is the foundation for a
simplistic view of the macroeconomy known as the Quantity Theory of Money. This theory
begins with the premise that because of the self-correcting nature of the economy, it will
always be in equilibrium with the aggregate quantity supplied equal to the aggregate quantity
demanded at some price level. According to this theory, the value of the aggregate quantity
supplied is equal to the physical quantity produced (Q) times the equilibrium price level (P).
The value of the aggregate quantity demanded is equal to the amount of money in the system
(M) times the velocity (V) with which the money changes hands
1
. V is called the transactions
velocity of money and measures the rate at which money circulates in the economy. In other
words, V tells us the number of times a given currency (i.e., Rs.) changes hands in a given
period of time. If a single Rs.1 is used for 10 transactions during a given year, then the total
quantity of goods and services that can be demanded with that Rs.1 will be Rs.10 per year.
Hence we have:
Value demanded = Amount of money in the system (M) X Velocity of money (V) = MV
Value supplied = Quantity produced (Q) X Equilibrium Price level (P) = QP
Say’s Law stipulates that “supply creates its own demand” as shown in the Figure 6.1.
According to Say’s Law of Markets, the closed circular flow of income contained a self-
correcting mechanism that would automatically stabilising the system, should it temporarily
get out of balance. For example, the market is in equilibrium at point E (i.e., at Qe = 60 level
of output on P = 12). If price increases to P1 = 16.quantity demanded for goods and services
falls to 40 quantity of supply increases to 80. Since demand for goods is less than the supply
of goods, price falls to the equilibrium level of output at Qe = 60 as shown in Figure 6.1.
Since the value of quantity supplied and demanded are presumed to be in equilibrium, it
follows that:
MV = PQ (the Fisher Equation)
6.2
This equation will be discussed in detail in Irving Fisher’s Transaction Approach. The
most striking support for the quantity theory of money comes from the experience of
extremely rapid inflations. During the German hyperinflation of 1922-23, the price level rose
an average of 322 per cent per month. The quantity of currency increased an average of 314
per cent per month. The hyperinflation in Greece between 1943 and 1946 saw rated of
monetary growth and inflation peak at several thousand per cent per month.
1.
Goodwin, John, W; Drummond, H. Evan, 1982, Agricultural Economics, Reston Publishing Company:
107.
Those nations that suffered above average inflations today
increasing money stocks. The accumulate evidence, then, leads monetarists to conclude that
the quantity theory approach to inflation is essentially correct
monetarist thought is the quantity theory of money
theory of money is that a change in the stock of money will, in the long run and other things
being the same, lead to a proportional
permanent effect of increasing th
The value of money (Vm) is determined at the point where demand for money (Dm)
equals supply of money (Sm). In equilibrium form it can be written as Vm = Dm = Sm. If
supply of money remain constant; incr
money or decreases the price level and vice versa. In other words when value of money
increases, price of commodity (price level ) decreases. There is an inverse relationship
between price level and value of
money can be shown in equation, Vm = 1/P. For example, if price of commodity X is Rs. 10
and if price of X increases from Rs. 10 to Rs.20, the value of money will fall down, this
means purchasing power of money falls so that Vm = 1/20. Now, with increase in price of X,
one unit of currency can buy only half of the commodity X. Value of money is determined
by the demand for and supply of money. In this regard, there are
Quantity theory of money, (2)
(4) The Real Balance Effect.
Irving Fisher’s Transaction Approach
(ii) Cash-balance Approach or Cambridge Approach
(iv) Post Quantity Theory of Money or Milton Friedman’s Quantity Theory of Money or
2. Kamerschen, David, R; et al, 1989, Economics, Houghton Mifflin Company: 378
Those nations that suffered above average inflations today invariably have rapidly
increasing money stocks. The accumulate evidence, then, leads monetarists to conclude that
the quantity theory approach to inflation is essentially correct
2
. The theory underlying
quantity theory of money. The basic proposition of the quantity
that a change in the stock of money will, in the long run and other things
, lead to a proportional change in the price level. In other words, the only
permanent effect of increasing the quantity of money is to increase the price level.
The value of money (Vm) is determined at the point where demand for money (Dm)
equals supply of money (Sm). In equilibrium form it can be written as Vm = Dm = Sm. If
supply of money remain constant; increase in demand for money increases the value of
money or decreases the price level and vice versa. In other words when value of money
increases, price of commodity (price level ) decreases. There is an inverse relationship
between price level and value of money. The relationship between price level and value of
shown in equation, Vm = 1/P. For example, if price of commodity X is Rs. 10
and if price of X increases from Rs. 10 to Rs.20, the value of money will fall down, this
er of money falls so that Vm = 1/20. Now, with increase in price of X,
one unit of currency can buy only half of the commodity X. Value of money is determined
by the demand for and supply of money. In this regard, there are four
(2) Income Theory of money (3) Liquidity theory of money
Quantity theory of money may be divided into
Irving Fisher’s Transaction Approach or Cash Transaction Approach or C
balance Approach or Cambridge Approach, (iii) Keynes’ reformulation of the QTM
Post Quantity Theory of Money or Milton Friedman’s Quantity Theory of Money or
, David, R; et al, 1989, Economics, Houghton Mifflin Company: 378
invariably have rapidly
increasing money stocks. The accumulate evidence, then, leads monetarists to conclude that
The theory underlying
The basic proposition of the quantity
that a change in the stock of money will, in the long run and other things
In other words, the only
e quantity of money is to increase the price level.
The value of money (Vm) is determined at the point where demand for money (Dm)
equals supply of money (Sm). In equilibrium form it can be written as Vm = Dm = Sm. If
ease in demand for money increases the value of
money or decreases the price level and vice versa. In other words when value of money
increases, price of commodity (price level ) decreases. There is an inverse relationship
money. The relationship between price level and value of
shown in equation, Vm = 1/P. For example, if price of commodity X is Rs. 10
and if price of X increases from Rs. 10 to Rs.20, the value of money will fall down, this
er of money falls so that Vm = 1/20. Now, with increase in price of X,
one unit of currency can buy only half of the commodity X. Value of money is determined
four approaches: (1)
Liquidity theory of money, and
ded into many parts: (i)
Classical Approach,
(iii) Keynes’ reformulation of the QTM
Post Quantity Theory of Money or Milton Friedman’s Quantity Theory of Money or
ChicagoVersion of QTM, (v) Money, Prices, and Inflation. Liquidity theory of money is
divided into two heads viz; (i) Radcliffe-Sayers’ version of the liquidity theory of money, and
(ii) Gurley-Shaw version of the liquidity theory of money. The real balance effect is also
divided into two heads viz; (i) the Pigou effect, and (ii) the Patinkin’s integration of monetary
theory and real sectors.
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