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Statistical methods in wool metrology



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2.5
Statistical methods in wool metrology
Statistical methods are a key component of wool metrology, and play a
significant role in the trading of wool. The industry has developed
comprehensive specifications defining the statistical methods to be employed
in development of standards,
2
 maintenance of quality control and resolution
of disputes.
3–9
Metrologists define systems that measure a particular characteristic by
direct reference to primary reference standards such as length or weight, as
primary systems. Systems that measure the same characteristic, but require
calibration by reference to a primary system are secondary systems. These
distinctions are important because different instruments or methods based on
primary systems should be expected to give the same answers, whereas
those based on secondary systems may not, particularly if they define the
quality characteristic in a different way. 
Table 2.3
 lists the elements that need
to be quantified statistically.
Objective determination of defined characteristics of materials usually
involves measurements based on a small proportion of the total material of
interest. In materials that are homogeneous, obtaining a representative sub-
sample of the whole is a relatively simple problem. Where there is heterogeneity,
obtaining a sub-sample that is representative of the whole is a much more
difficult task. Wool is a heterogeneous material. The sampling procedures
for sale lots or consignments of wool must be carefully developed using
statistical techniques to ensure that the sample represents the bulk with a
predictable degree of error.
© 2009 Woodhead Publishing Limited


The objective measurement of wool fibre quality
27
2.5.1
Accuracy and precision
Precision describes the reproducibility of results – that is, the agreement
between numerical values of two or more replicate measurements, or
measurements that have been made in exactly the same way. Generally, the
precision of a testing system can be obtained simply by repeating the
measurement, using the same technique, a number of times. The determination
of precision generally requires all the sources of variation to be identified
and quantified.
Precision is often confused with accuracy. Accuracy simply describes the
correctness of a result and must always be determined by reference to a
primary system.
Ideally, the accuracy and the precision of any measurement system will be
identical, but frequently they are not. It is quite possible to have a very
precise secondary measurement system (the answers are highly reproducible),
which differs consistently from the ‘true’ value. This does not limit its
usefulness, provided it is used in all instances where comparisons must be
made. Terms that are widely used to describe the statistical significance of
a set of replicate data are defined, together with some related terms, in
Table 2.4.
2.5.2
Bias
Metrologists are concerned with two types of error:
• random or indeterminate errors; and
• systematic or determinate errors.
Table 2.3 Statistical criteria for evaluating measurement systems
Criterion
Numerical measure
Precision
Absolute standard deviation
Relative standard deviation
Coefficient of variation
Variance
Bias
Absolute systematic error
Relative systematic error
Sensitivity
Calibration sensitivity
Analytical sensitivity
Detection limit
Blank plus 3 times the standard deviation of the blank
Range
Limit of quantitation (LOQ) to limit of linearity (LOL)
Selectivity
Coefficient of selectivity
Source: P.J. Sommerville, 
Technical & Commercial Requirements of Wool
Testing Systems, AWTA Ltd Newsletter, September 2001.
© 2009 Woodhead Publishing Limited


Advances in wool technology
28
The error in the mean of a number of replicate measurements is equal to the
sum of these two errors. Random or indeterminate errors impact upon precision.
Bias may have little or no effect on precision, but it has a significant effect
upon accuracy.
Bias is a result of systematic or determinate errors. Systematic errors
always act in one direction, resulting in a consistently larger or a consistently
smaller result than that provided by the reference measurement. In general,
bias can be determined only by reference to measurements provided by
primary measurement systems (i.e. systems based on direct reference to
primary metric standards such as length and weight). Bias can exist between
measurements provided by secondary measurement systems, but unless the
bias can be confirmed by reference to a primary measurement system, the
metrologist may never be sure whether one or both of the secondary
measurement systems are responsible for the bias. Bias can result from
several causes. Generally, these are classified into one of six groups:
1.

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