3.3. Theoretical versus Applied Economics
The study of economics has taken place within a Kuhnian paradigm of perfect
competition for years. Within this paradigm, the models of perfect competition, rational
expectations, supply and demand, and the other economic theories have been described.
In recent years, there has been a strong movement towards mathematics and
econometrics as a way to expound upon already established theories. This movement has
come under some criticism, both from within the profession and without, as not being
applicable to real world situations. There has been a push to move away from the
econometric methods that lead to further theory explanation and to focus on applying
economics to practical situations. While the theories are innately important to the study
of any economic activity, the application of those theories in policy is also important.
There are many areas of applied economics, including environmental, agricultural, and
transitional. However, the recent trends towards mathematical models has caused some
to question whether or not expounding on the theories will help in the policy decisions of
taxation, inflation, interest rates, etc. Solutions to these problems have been largely
theoretical, as economics is a social science and laboratory experiments cannot be done.
Econometrics
Bayesian
Classical
Bayesian
Classical
Applied
Theoretical
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However, there are some concerns with traditional theoretical economics that are worth
mentioning. First, Ben Ward describes "stylized facts," or false assumptions, such as the
econometric assumption that "strange observations do not count."
[1] While it is vital that anomalies are overlooked for the purpose of deriving and
formulating a clear theory, when it comes to applying the theory, the anomalies could
distort what
should
happen. These stylized facts are very important in theoretical
economics, but can become very dangerous when dealing with applied economics. A
good example is the failure of economic models to account for shifts due to deregulation
or unexpected shocks.
[2] These can be viewed as anomalies that are unable to be accounted for in a model, yet
is very real in the world today.
Another concern with traditional theory is that of market breakdowns. Economists
assume things such as perfect competition and utility maximization. However, it is easily
seen that these assumptions do not always hold. One example is the idea of stable
preferences among consumers and that they act efficiently in their pursuit. However,
people's preferences change over time and they do not always act rational nor efficient.
[3] Health care, for another example, chops down many of the assumptions that are
crucial to theoretical economics. With the advent of insurance, perfect competition is no
longer a valid assumption. Physicians and hospitals are paid by insurance companies,
which assures them of high salaries, but which prevents them from being competitive in
the free market. Perfect information is another market breakdown in health economics.
The consumer (patient) cannot possibly know everything the doctor knows about their
condition, so the doctor is placed in an economically advantaged position. Since the
traditional assumptions fail to hold here, a manipulated form of the traditional theory
needs to be applied. The assumption that consumers and producers (physicians,
hospitals) will simply come into equilibrium together will not become a reality because
the market breakdowns lead to distortions. Traditional theorists would argue that the
breakdown has to be fixed and then the theory can applied as it should be. They stick to
their guns even when there is conflicting evidence otherwise, and they propose that the
problem lies with the actors, not the theory.
[4] The third concern to be discussed here ties in with the Kuhnian idea of normal
science. The idea that all research is done within a paradigm and that revolutions in
science only occur during a time of crisis. However, this concerns a "hard" science, and
economics is a social science. This implies that economics is going to have an effect on
issues, therefore, economists are going to have an effect on issues. Value-neutrality is
not likely to be present in economics, because economists not only explain what is
happening, predict what will happen, but they prescribe the solutions to arrive at the
desired solution. Economics is one of the main issues in every political campaign and
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there are both liberal and conservative economists. The inference is that economists use
the same theories and apply them to the same situations and recommend completely
different solutions. In this vein, politics and values drive what solutions economists
recommend. Even though theories are strictly adhered to, can a reasonably economic
solution be put forth that is not influenced by values? Unfortunately, the answer is no.
Theoretical economics cannot hold all the answers to every problem faced in the "real
world" because false assumptions, market breakdowns, and the influence of values
prevent the theories from being applied as they
should
. Yet, the Formalist Revolution or
move towards mathematics and econometrics continues to focus their efforts on theories.
Economists continue to adjust reality to theory, instead of theory to reality.
[5] This is Gordon's "Rigor over Relevance." The concept that mathematical models and
the need to further explain a theory often overrides the sense of urgency that a problem
creates. There is much literature about theories that have been developed using
econometric models, but Gordon's concern is that relevance to what is happening in the
world is being overshadowed.
[6] This is where the push for applied economics has come from over the past 20 years or
so. Issues such as taxes, movement to a free market from a socialist system, inflation,
and lowering health care costs are tangible problems to many people. The notion that
theoretical economics is going to be able to develop solutions to these problems seems
unrealistic, especially in the face of stylized facts and market breakdowns. Even if a
practical theoretical solution to the problem of health care costs could be derived, it
would certainly get debated by economists from the left and the right who are sure that
this solution will either be detrimental or a saving grace.
Does this mean that theoretical economics should be replaced by applied economics?
Certainly not. Theoretical economics is the basis from which economics has grown and
has landed us today. The problem is that we do not live in a perfect, ideal world in which
economic theory is based. Theories do not allow for sudden shocks nor behavioral
changes.
[7] This is important as it undercuts the stable preferences assumption, as mentioned
before. When the basic assumptions of a theory are no longer valid, it makes very
difficult to apply that theory to a complex situation. For instance, if utility maximization
is designed as maximizing my income, then it should follow that income become the
measuring stick for utility. However, if money is not an important issue to someone, then
it may appear as if they are not maximizing their utility nor acting rationally. They may
be perfectly happy giving up income to spend time with their family, but to an economist
they are not maximizing their utility. This is a good example of how theory and reality
come into conflict.
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The focus in theoretical economics has been to make reality fit the theory and not vice-
versa. The concern here is that this version of problem-solving will not actually solve
any problems. Rather, more problems may be created in the process. There has been
some refocusing among theoreticians to make their theories more applicable, but the
focus of graduate studies remains on econometrics and mathematical models. The
business world is beginning to take notice of this and is often requiring years away from
the academic community before they will hire someone. They are looking for economists
who know how to apply their knowledge to solve real problems, not simply to expound
upon an established theory. It is the application of the science that makes it important
and useful, not just the theoretical knowledge.
This is not to say that theoretical economics is not important. It certainly is, just as
research in chemistry and physics is important to further understand the world we live in.
However, the difference is that economics is a social science with a public policy aspect.
This means that millions of people are affected by the decisions of policy-makers, who
get their input from economists, among others. Legislators cannot understand the
technical mathematical models, nor would they most likely care to, but they are interested
in policy prescriptions. Should health care be nationalized? Is this the best solution
economically? These are the practical problems that face individuals and the nation
every day. The theoreticians provide a sturdy basis to start from, but theory alone is not
enough. The theory needs to be joined with practicality that will lead to reasonable
practical solutions of difficult economic problems. Economics cannot thrive without
theory, and thus stylized facts and other assumptions. However, this theory has to
explain the way the world actually is, not the way economists say it should be.
[8] Pure economic theory is a great way to understand the basics of how the market
works and how the actors
should
act within the market. False assumptions and market
breakdowns present conflict between theory and reality. From here, many economists
simply assume is not the fault of the theory, but rather the economic agents in play.
However, it is impossible to make reality fit within the strict guidelines of a theory; the
theory needs to be altered to fit reality. This is where applied economics becomes
important. Application of theories needs to be made practical to fit each situation. To
rely simply on theory and models is not to take into account the dynamic nature of human
beings. What is needed is a strong theoretical field of economics, as well as a strong
applied field. This should lead to practical solutions with a strong theoretical basis.
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