Macroeconomics



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Ebook Macro Economi N. Gregory Mankiw(1)

F I G U R E

1 2 - 1

Expenditure

Exchange

rate, e

Exchange rate, e

Income,


output, Y 

Income,


output, Y

Net


exports,

NX

Y

1

Y

2

IS*

NX(e

1

)



NX(e

2

)



NX

NX



e

1

e

2

Actual

expenditure

Planned

expenditure

45°


Y

1

Y

2

e

1

e

2

(a) The Net-Exports Schedule 

(b) The Keynesian Cross 

(c) The IS* Curve 

2. ... lowers 

net exports, ... 

3. ... which 

shifts planned 

expenditure

downward ... 

5. The IS* curve

summarizes these

changes in the goods-

market equilibrium. 

1. An

increase in

the exchange

rate ..

.

4. ... and

lowers

income.

The 

IS* Curve

The IS* curve is

derived from the net-exports sched-

ule and the Keynesian cross. Panel

(a) shows the net-exports schedule:

an increase in the exchange rate from



e

1

to e



2

lowers net exports from



NX(e

1

) to NX(e



2

). Panel (b) shows

the Keynesian cross: a decrease in net

exports from NX(e

1

) to NX(e



2

) shifts


the planned-expenditure schedule

downward and reduces income from



Y

1

to Y



2

. Panel (c) shows the IS*

curve summarizing this relationship

between the exchange rate and

income: the higher the exchange rate,

the lower the level of income.




The IS* curve slopes downward because a higher exchange rate reduces net

exports, which in turn lowers aggregate income. To show how this works, the

other panels of Figure 12-1 combine the net-exports schedule and the Keyne-

sian cross to derive the IS* curve. In panel (a), an increase in the exchange rate

from e

1

to e



2

lowers net exports from NX(e

1

) to NX(e



2

). In panel (b), the reduc-

tion in net exports shifts the planned-expenditure schedule downward and thus

lowers income from Y

1

to Y



2

. The IS* curve summarizes this relationship

between the exchange rate and income Y.

The Money Market and the 



LMCurve

The Mundell–Fleming model represents the money market with an equation

that should be familiar from the ISLM model:

M/P

L(r).

This equation states that the supply of real money balances M/equals the

demand L(r, Y ). The demand for real balances depends negatively on the inter-

est rate and positively on income Y. The money supply is an exogenous vari-

able controlled by the central bank, and because the Mundell–Fleming model is

designed to analyze short-run fluctuations, the price level is also assumed to be

exogenously fixed.

Once again, we add the assumption that the domestic interest rate equals the

world interest rate, so r

r*:

M/P

L(r*, ).

Let’s call this the LM * equation. We can represent it graphically with a 

vertical line, as in panel (b) of Figure 12-2. The LM * curve is vertical because

the exchange rate does not enter into the LM * equation. Given the world

interest rate, the LM * equation determines aggregate income, regardless 

of the exchange rate. Figure 12-2 shows how the LM * curve arises from 

the world interest rate and the LM curve, which relates the interest rate 

and income.

Putting the Pieces Together

According to the Mundell–Fleming model, a small open economy with perfect

capital mobility can be described by two equations:



Y

C(− ) + I(r*) + NX(e)



IS*,

M/P

L(r*, )



LM*.

The first equation describes equilibrium in the goods market; the second

describes equilibrium in the money market. The exogenous variables are 

C H A P T E R   1 2

The Open Economy Revisited: The Mundell-Fleming Model and the Exchange-Rate Regime

| 343



fiscal policy and T, monetary policy M, the price level P, and the world

interest rate *. The endogenous variables are income and the exchange

rate e.

Figure 12-3 illustrates these two relationships. The equilibrium for the econ-

omy is found where the IS* curve and the LM * curve intersect. This intersec-

tion shows the exchange rate and the level of income at which the goods market

and the money market are both in equilibrium. With this diagram, we can use

the Mundell–Fleming model to show how aggregate income and the

exchange rate respond to changes in policy.

344


|

P A R T   I V

Business Cycle Theory: The Economy in the Short Run


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