Macroeconomics


An Import Restriction in the Large



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Ebook Macro Economi N. Gregory Mankiw(1)

An Import Restriction in the Large

Open Economy

An import restric-

tion raises the demand for net exports,

as shown in panel (c). The real

exchange rate appreciates, while the

equilibrium trade balance remains the

same. Nothing happens in the market

for loanable funds in panel (a) or to

the net capital outflow in panel (b).

F I G U R E

5 - 2 2

Real interest

rate,

r

Net exports, NX



NX

2

NX

1

Loanable funds, S, I 



+ CF

Net capital

outflow, CF

S

I

+ CF



r

CF(r)

NX(

e)

CF

e

2

e

1

Real


exchange

rate,


e

(a) The Market for Loanable Funds

(b) Net Capital Outflow

(c) The Market for Foreign Exchange

1. Protectionist

policies raise the

demand for net

exports, ...

3. ... leaving

net exports 

unchanged.

2. ... which

increases

the exchange

rate, . . . 


mitigates the shift in the CF schedule, CF still falls. The reduced level of net cap-

ital outflow reduces the supply of dollars in the market for foreign exchange. The

exchange rate appreciates, and net exports fall.

Conclusion

How different are large and small open economies? Certainly, policies affect the

interest rate in a large open economy, unlike in a small open economy. But, in

other ways, the two models yield similar conclusions. In both large and small

open economies, policies that raise saving or lower investment lead to trade sur-

pluses. Similarly, policies that lower saving or raise investment lead to trade

deficits. In both economies, protectionist trade policies cause the exchange rate

to appreciate and do not influence the trade balance. Because the results are so

similar, for most questions one can use the simpler model of the small open

economy, even if the economy being examined is not really small.

C H A P T E R   5

The Open Economy

| 161



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