tistics. Rank the fi rms based on each of the criteria separately, and divide the fi rms
into fi ve groups based on their ranking for each criterion. Calculate the average
rate of return for each group of fi rms.
Do you confi rm or reject any of the anomalies cited in this chapter? Can you
uncover a new anomaly? Note: For your test to be valid, you must form your port-
folios based on criteria observed at the beginning of the period. Why?
b. Use the price history from the Historical Prices tab to calculate the beta of each of
the fi rms in part ( a ). Use this beta, the T-bill rate, and the return on the S&P 500 to
calculate the risk-adjusted abnormal return of each stock group. Does any anomaly
uncovered in the previous question persist after controlling for risk?
c. Now form stock groups that use two criteria simultaneously. For example, form a
portfolio of stocks that are both in the lowest quintile of price–earnings ratio and
in the highest quintile of book-to-market ratio. Does selecting stocks based on
more than one characteristic improve your ability to devise portfolios with abnor-
mal returns? Repeat the analysis by forming groups that meet three criteria simul-
taneously. Does this yield any further improvement in abnormal returns?
2. Several Web sites list information on earnings surprises. Much of the information sup-
plied is from Zacks.com. Each day the largest positive and negative surprises are listed.
Go to www.zacks.com/research/earnings/today_eps.php and identify the top pos-
itive and the top negative earnings surprises for the day. The table will list the time and
date of the announcement. Do you notice any difference between the times of day
positive announcements tend to be made versus negative announcements?
Identify the tickers for the top three positive surprises. Once you have identified the
top surprises, go to finance.yahoo.com . Enter the ticker symbols and obtain quotes
for these securities. Examine the 5-day charts for each of the companies. Is the infor-
mation incorporated into price quickly? Is there any evidence of prior knowledge or
anticipation of the disclosure in advance of the trading?
Choose one of the stocks listed and click on its symbol to follow the link for more
information. Click on the link for Interactive Chart that appears under the graph. You
can move the cursor over various parts of the graph to investigate what happened
to the price and trading volume of the stock on each trading day. Do you notice any
patterns?
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The Efficient Market Hypothesis
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