Source: Derived from Yakov Amihud and Haim Mendelson, “Asset Pricing and the Bid–Ask Spread,” Journal of Financial Economics 17
(1986), pp. 223–49. Copyright 1986, with permission from Elsevier.
C H A P T E R
9
The Capital Asset Pricing Model
313
altogether. Liquidity had evaporated. Nor was this an unheard-of phenomenon. The market
crash of 1987, as well as the failure of Long-Term Capital Management in 1998, also saw
large declines in liquidity across broad segments of the market.
In fact, several studies have investigated variation in a number of measures of liquidity
for large samples of stocks and found that when liquidity in one stock decreases, it tends to
decrease in other stocks at the same time; thus liquidity across stocks shows significant cor-
relation.
25
In other words, variation in liquidity has an important systematic component. Not
surprisingly, investors demand
compensation for exposure to liquidity risk. The extra expected
return for bearing liquidity risk modifies the CAPM expected return–beta relationship.
Following up on this insight, Amihud demonstrates that firms with greater liquidity
uncertainty have higher average returns.
26
Later studies focus on exposure to marketwide
liquidity risk, as measured by a “liquidity beta.” Analogously
to a traditional market beta,
the liquidity beta measures the sensitivity of a firm’s returns to changes in market liquidity
(whereas the traditional beta measures return sensitivity to the market return). Firms that
provide better returns when market liquidity falls offer some protection against liquidity
risk, and thus should be priced higher and offer lower expected returns. In fact, we will
see in Chapter 13 that firms with high liquidity betas have offered higher average returns,
just as theory predicts.
27
Moreover, the liquidity premium that emerges from these studies
appears to be of roughly the same order of magnitude as the market risk premium, suggest-
ing that liquidity should be a first-order consideration when thinking about security pricing.
25
See, for example, Tarun Chordia, Richard Roll, and Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, “Commonality in Liquidity,”
Journal of Financial Economics 56 (2000), pp. 3–28, or J. Hasbrouck and D. H. Seppi, “Common Factors in
Prices, Order Flows and Liquidity,” Journal of Financial Economics 59 (2001), pp. 383–411.
26
Yakov Amihud, “Illiquidity and Stock Returns: Cross-Section and Time-Series Effects,” Journal of Financial
Markets 9 (2002), pp. 31–56.
27
See L. Pástor and R. F. Stambaugh, “Liquidity Risk
and Expected Stock Returns,”
Journal of Political Economy
111 (2003), pp. 642–685, or V. V. Acharya and L. H. Pedersen, “Asset Pricing with Liquidity Risk,” Journal of
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