6.4 Factors that Aff ect Currency Exchange Rates
139
to supply larger quantities of euros as the dollar value of euros increase. The market, in our
example, is in balance, or in “equilibrium,” when one euro is worth $1.09. This price refl ects
the market-clearing price that equates the demand (D
1
) for euros relative to the supply (S
1
)
of euros.
Now, assume Americans increase their demand for goods and services from eurozone
member countries such as Germany and France. These goods and services would be priced in
euros. Americans will need to exchange their dollars for euros to pay for their purchases. The
consequence is an increase or shift in demand for euros from D
1
to D
2
, as depicted in Graph B
of Figure 6.1. The supply of euros refl ects demand by eurozone member countries for U.S.
goods and services, and as long as there is no change, S
1
will remain unchanged. As a con-
sequence of this scenario, the increased demand for euros results in a new higher equilibrium
price of $1.10.
A further increase in the demand for the goods and services provided by eurozone mem-
ber countries could cause the dollar price or value of one euro to increase even more. Graph C
in Figure 6.1 depicts such an increase as a shift from D
2
to D
3
. Again, with no change in the
supply of euros, the new market-clearing price of a euro might be $1.11. Of course, as the
euro’s dollar value increases, the prices of eurozone member goods also increase. At some
point, as eurozone member goods become more costly, U.S. demand for these foreign goods
will decline. Graph D depicts this cutback in U.S. demand for euros as a shift downward from
D
3
in Graph C to D
2.
In a similar fashion, the higher dollar value of the euro in Graph C makes
U.S. goods and services less costly to eurozone members, and thus the supply of euros might
increase or shift from S
1
to S
2
. The net result could be a new equilibrium exchange rate in
which the dollar price of a euro is $1.09.
A change in the demand for one country’s fi nancial assets relative to another country’s
fi nancial assets also will cause the currency exchange rate between the two countries to change
to a new equilibrium price. For example, a nation with a relatively strong stock market will
attract investors who seek out the highest returns on their investment funds, much as a nation
with a higher relative economic growth rate attracts capital investments. For example, if the
stock market in the United States is expected to perform poorly relative to the stock markets
in eurozone member countries, investors will switch or move their debt investments denomi-
nated in U.S. dollars into euro-denominated debt investments. This increased demand for
euros relative to U.S. dollars will cause the euro’s dollar value to increase.
$1.09
S
1
D
1
Dollar Price
of One
Euro (€)
Quantity of Euros
Graph A
$1.10
S
1
D
2
D
1
Dollar Price
of One
Euro (€)
Quantity of Euros
Graph B
$1.11
S
1
D
1
D
2
D
3
Dollar Price
of One
Euro (€)
Quantity of Euros
Graph C
$1.09
S
2
S
1
D
2
Dollar Price
of One
Euro (€)
Quantity of Euros
Graph D
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