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[N. Gregory(N. Gregory Mankiw) Mankiw] Principles (BookFi)

quantity theory of money.
According to the quantity theory,
the quantity of money available in the economy determines the value of money,
and growth in the quantity of money is the primary cause of inflation. As econo-
mist Milton Friedman once put it, “Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary
phenomenon.”
A B R I E F L O O K AT T H E A D J U S T M E N T P R O C E S S
So far we have compared the old equilibrium and the new equilibrium after an in-
jection of money. How does the economy get from the old to the new equilibrium?
Quantity of
Money
Value of
Money, 
1/
P
Price 
Level,
P
A
B
Money
demand
0
1
(Low)
(High)
(High)
(Low)
1
/
2
1
/
4
3
/
4
1
1.33
2
4
M
1
MS
1
M
2
MS
2
2. …decreases
the value of
money…
3. …and
increases
the price
level.
1. An increase
in the money
supply...
F i g u r e 2 8 - 2
A
N
I
NCREASE IN THE
M
ONEY
S
UPPLY
.
When the Fed
increases the supply of money,
the money supply curve shifts
from 
MS
1
to
MS
2
. The value of
money (on the left axis) and the
price level (on the right axis)
adjust to bring supply and
demand back into balance. The
equilibrium moves from point 
A to point B. Thus, when an
increase in the money supply
makes dollars more plentiful, the
price level increases, making each
dollar less valuable.
q u a n t i t y t h e o r y o f m o n e y
a theory asserting that the quantity
of money available determines the
price level and that the growth rate
in the quantity of money available
determines the inflation rate


C H A P T E R 2 8
M O N E Y G R O W T H A N D I N F L AT I O N
6 3 3
A complete answer to this question requires an understanding of short-run
fluctuations in the economy, which we examine later in this book. Yet, even now, it
is instructive to consider briefly the adjustment process that occurs after a change
in money supply.
The immediate effect of a monetary injection is to create an excess supply
of money. Before the injection, the economy was in equilibrium (point A in Fig-
ure 28-2). At the prevailing price level, people had exactly as much money as they
wanted. But after the helicopters drop the new money and people pick it up off the
streets, people have more dollars in their wallets than they want. At the prevailing
price level, the quantity of money supplied now exceeds the quantity demanded.
People try to get rid of this excess supply of money in various ways. They
might buy goods and services with their excess holdings of money. Or they might
use this excess money to make loans to others by buying bonds or by depositing
the money in a bank savings account. These loans allow other people to buy goods
and services. In either case, the injection of money increases the demand for
goods and services.
The economy’s ability to supply goods and services, however, has not
changed. As we saw in Chapter 24, the economy’s production is determined by the
available labor, physical capital, human capital, natural resources, and techno-
logical knowledge. None of these is altered by the injection of money.
Thus, the greater demand for goods and services causes the prices of goods
and services to increase. The increase in the price level, in turn, increases the quan-
tity of money demanded because people are using more dollars for every transac-
tion. Eventually, the economy reaches a new equilibrium (point B in Figure 28-2) at
which the quantity of money demanded again equals the quantity of money sup-
plied. In this way, the overall price level for goods and services adjusts to bring
money supply and money demand into balance.
T H E C L A S S I C A L D I C H O T O M Y A N D M O N E TA R Y N E U T R A L I T Y
We have seen how changes in the money supply lead to changes in the average
level of prices of goods and services. How do these monetary changes affect other
important macroeconomic variables, such as production, employment, real wages,
and real interest rates? This question has long intrigued economists. Indeed, the
great philosopher David Hume wrote about it in the eighteenth century. The an-
swer we give today owes much to Hume’s analysis.
Hume and his contemporaries suggested that all economic variables should be
divided into two groups. The first group consists of 

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