Do Unions Really Raise Wages?
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proportion not merely to its economic productivity but to its political
power and strategic position. Suppose the result is that the farm hands
are unable to raise their wages at all, that the retail store workers are
able to get an increase of 10 percent, the clothing workers of 20 per-
cent, the coal miners of 30 percent, the building trades of 40 percent,
and the railroad employees of 50 percent.
On the assumptions we have made, this will mean that there has
been an
average
increase in wages of 25 percent. Now suppose, again
for the sake
of arithmetical simplicity, that the price of the product
that each group of workers makes rises by the same percentage as the
increase in that group’s wages. (For several reasons, including the fact
that labor costs do not represent all costs, the price will not quite do
that—certainly not in any short period. But the figures will none the
less serve to illustrate the basic principle involved.)
We shall then have a situation in which
the cost of living has risen
by an average of 25 percent. The farm hands, though they have had
no reduction in their money wages, will be considerably worse off in
terms of what they can buy. The retail store workers, even though
they have got an increase in money wages of 10 percent, will be worse
off than before the race began. Even
the workers in the clothing
trades, with a money-wage increase of 20 percent, will be at a disad-
vantage compared with their previous position. The coal miners, with
a money-wage increase of 30 percent, will have made in purchasing
power only a slight gain. The building and railroad workers will of
course have made a gain, but one much smaller in actuality than in
appearance.
But even such calculations rest on the assumption that the forced
increase in wages has brought about no unemployment. This is likely to
be true only if the increase in wages has been
accompanied by an equiv-
alent increase in money and bank credit; and even then it is improbable
that such distortions in wage rates can be brought about without creat-
ing pockets of unemployment, particularly in the trades in which wages
have advanced the most. If this corresponding monetary inflation does
not occur, the forced wage advances will bring about widespread unem-
ployment.
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