How bad could it get? America’s ugly election



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The Economist - UK 2020-09-05

Schumpeter

How to build a better TikTok


The Economist

September 5th 2020

59

1

T



he emergence 

of the discipline of eco-

nomics in the 18th century was the re-

sult of people trying to explain something

that had never happened before. At the

time a handful of countries were becoming

fabulously rich, while others remained

dirt-poor. In 1500 the world’s richest coun-

try was twice as well-off as the poorest one;

by 1750 the ratio was five to one. It is no co-

incidence that the most famous book in

economics, published in 1776, inquired

into “the Nature and Causes of the Wealth

of Nations”. 

In order to explain such a divergence

between rich and poor countries, the early

economists were obsessed with culture, a

catch-all term encompassing a society’s

beliefs, preferences and values. Adam

Smith, the author of “The Wealth of Na-

tions”, explored the ways in which culture

helped or hindered capitalism. He argued

that certain norms were required in order

for market economies to thrive—most im-

portantly, that people would be self-inter-

ested, but that they would satisfy their self-

interest by adapting to the needs of others.

Karl Marx, a few decades later, worried that

a culture of “oriental despotism” prevented

the emergence of capitalism in Asia. 

The speculations of Smith, Marx and

others were often vague. Max Weber’s “The

Protestant Ethic and the Spirit of Capital-

ism”, published in 1905, made them con-

crete. Weber argued that Protestants, in

particular Calvinists, drove the emergence

of capitalism due to a strong work ethic. 

In the middle of the 20th century such

cultural explanations began to fall out of

favour. The rapid rise of Japan’s economy in

the 1950s, and later of the Asian “tigers”,

quashed the Marxist-Weberian notion that

Western culture alone was conducive to in-

dustrialisation. At the same time the in-

creasing availability of data with which to

do statistical analysis meant that econo-

mists’ attention went elsewhere. Why

bother with hard-to-measure matters such

as morals, when it is possible to plug hard

data such as capital accumulation, wages

or employment into a regression model? In

1970 Robert Solow, a Nobel prizewinner,

quipped that attempts to explain economic

growth with reference to culture ended up

“in a blaze of amateur sociology”.

But an interest in culture remained—

and indeed is now making a comeback.

Since the 1980s datasets such as the World

Values Survey and the General Social Sur-

vey have made it easier to quantitatively

measure cultural preferences and relate

them to economic outcomes. Top eco-

nomic journals now regularly include pa-

pers on the importance of culture. Even

many hardline wonks have come to realise

the limits to pure economic reasoning. 

Perhaps the most influential text in the

revival of cultural economics was “Making

Democracy Work”, a book from 1993 by Rob-

ert Putnam. Mr Putnam tried to under-

stand why for many decades northern Italy

had been richer than the south, folding the

explanation under the catch-all term “so-

cial capital”. People in the south were

fiercely loyal to their family, but more dis-

trustful of outsiders—whereas in the north

people were happier to form connections

with strangers, Mr Putnam argued. In the

north people read more newspapers, were

more likely to participate in sports and cul-

tural associations, and voted more fre-

quently in referendums. This, the theory

went, contributed to better local govern-

ment and more efficient economic tran-

sactions, which in turn produced greater

wealth—though Mr Putnam was not clear

about the precise mechanism by which one

thing led to the other. 

A group of researchers, largely domin-

ated by Italians who were inspired by Mr

Putnam’s work, has since extended his

ideas, seeking cultural explanations of why

some areas are rich and others poor. A pa-

per from 2004 by Luigi Guiso, Paola Sa-

pienza and Luigi Zingales, also looking at

Italy, finds that in high-social-capital ar-

eas, households invest less in cash and

more in stocks, and make less use of infor-

mal credit. In areas where people do not

really trust those outside their family, it

may be hard to form large business organi-

sations which can benefit from economies 




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