Gonzaga Debate Institute 2010 Bravo Lab China da


Infighting Bad - Collapse



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Infighting Bad - Collapse


Factional infighting leading up to the 2012 succession will collapse the country

Li 9 (Cheng, Director of Research, John L. Thornton China Center. “China’s Team of Rivals.” Foreign Policy. February 16, 2009. http://www.brookings.edu/articles/2009/03_china_li.aspx) . LRH.
But China’s new game of elite politics may fail. What will happen, for instance, if economic conditions continue to worsen? Factionalism at the top might grow out of control, perhaps even leading to deadlock or outright feuding. Different outlooks over many issues—including how to redistribute resources, establish a public healthcare system, reform the financial sector, achieve energy security, maintain political order, and handle domestic ethnic tensions—are already so contentious that the leadership might find it increasingly difficult to build the kind of consensus necessary to govern effectively. 

Hu Agenda = Sino-US Relations


Hu wants China to cooperate with the US on many issues, including the environment and non-proliferation

Xinhua News Agency 10. (“Hu: China, US should improve win-win co-op.”Xinhua News Agency. May 24, 2010. http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2010sinousdialogue/2010-05/24/content_9885625.htm). LRH.
Addressing the opening ceremony of the second round of China-US Strategic and Economic Dialogue, Hu said China and the United States should step up macroeconomic policy coordination and promote sustained world economic recovery.

He called on closer bilateral exchanges and cooperation in the areas including economy and trade, energy, environment, counter-terrorism, non-proliferation, law enforcement, science and technology, education, agriculture, health and quality inspection.

He also urged the two countries to develop cooperation in new areas such as civil aviation, high-speed railway, infrastructure construction and space exploration.



"In this way, we will lend fresh impetus to the growth of China-US relations and enable our peoples to reap tangible benefits from China-US cooperation," he added.
China will cooperate with the US over small issues: they want to improve US-China ties

IANS 10. (“Hu Jintao reaffirms importance of China-US ties.” Indo Asian News Service. May 24th, 2010. http://blog.taragana.com/politics/2010/05/24/hu-jintao-reaffirms-importance-of-china-us-ties-38308/). LRH.
BEIJING - Chinese President Hu Jintao Monday reaffirmed the importance of developing China-US ties, saying that sound bilateral ties contribute to peace, stability andprosperity in the Asia Pacific region and the world. “As permanent members of the UN Security Council, the largest developing country and the largest developed country, China and the US face common tasks and shoulder important responsibilities ranging from promoting sustainable growth of the world economy to managing regional hot-spots, meeting global challenges and safeguarding world peace and security,” Xinhua reported quoting Hu. Addressing the opening ceremony of the second China-US strategic and economic dialogue here, he said the world is in the midst of major developments, changes and adjustments. The trend toward a multi-polar world and economic globalization is gathering momentum, he said, adding global issues are becoming more pronounced, and regional and international hot-spot issues keep cropping up. “To further advance mankind’s noble cause of peace and development requires greater cooperation among people of all countries,” the president added.
China is calling for US cooperation on numerous issues

Gaoette and Christie 10. (Nicole and Rebecca, writers for Bloomberg. “Clinton Calls for China Cooperation on North Korea (Update1).” Bloomberg Businessweek. May 24, 2010. http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-05-24/clinton-calls-for-china-cooperation-on-north-korea-update1-.html) LRH.
May 24 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton praised China for supporting tougher United Nations sanctions against Iran, and said the same cooperation was necessary against North Korea. “North Korea is also a matter of global concern,” Clinton said at the opening of the Strategic and Economic Dialogue in Beijing. “We must work together again to address this challenge.” The U.S. is seeking China’s backing to punish North Korea for the deadly attack on a South Korean ship in March, an issue that has eclipsed other items on the agenda for the high-level talks. South Korea today said it will seek UN action against North Korea after a report concluded last week that it was behind the torpedoing of a warship that killed 46 sailors. China is North Korea’s closest ally. Clinton yesterday met with senior Chinese officials to convey how seriously the U.S. views developments on the Korean peninsula, an Obama administration official said. The U.S. and its allies have not faced such a serious regional incident in decades, the official said, speaking on condition of anonymity. In today’s remarks, Clinton called for cooperation that creates “win-win solutions, rather than zero-sum rivalries” with China. Hu’s Warning Chinese President Hu Jintao, speaking minutes later, echoed the call for cooperation on issues of security, financial matters and climate change, while cautioning against unilateral foreign policy decisions.

Hu Agenda Good – Economy/Stability


The Hu agenda is key to preventing global economic meltdown and the collapse of China.

Hutzler 10 (Charles, Staff writer, “China PM defends assertive trade, foreign plicy ” ABC News, March 14, http://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory?id=10095619) MKB

With these storm clouds brewing, Wen said more coordination was needed among economic powers to prevent the world economy from sagging into a "double-dip" recession. He cited high unemployment rates, debt crises in nations such as Greece and high government deficits abroad, while at home, he said, there are worries about inflation and businesses' over-reliance on the massive stimulus and loans China used last year to keep the economy running. "I believe that free trade not only promotes growth of the world economy. At the same time, it promotes harmony in the world and changes and improves people's lives," Wen said. Wen spoke following the closing of the annual session of the party-dominated national legislature, which earlier Sunday approved a blueprint to keep government spending high, though at half the rate of last year, to buffer any economic turbulence. Sizable increases were given to education, pensions and low-cost housing — part of a yearslong effort by Wen and President Hu Jintao to more fairly spread the benefits of growth among rural and working-class Chinese. Wen spoke frankly that economic ills left untended could threaten Communist rule. A particularly toxic combination, he said, were inflation, the rich-poor income gap and corruption — all current problems. "These will be strong enough to affect our social stability and even the stability of state power," he said. Normally high security in Beijing was tightened further in the past two weeks for the National People's Congress and a meeting of the top government advisory body. After Wen's news conference, police dragged away and put into a van at least two people — one of whom was complaining about a housing dispute — as they tried to get the attention of officials and reporters outside the hulking Great Hall of the People. A third person, who said he was a teacher, was led away separately. Turning the tables on the U.S., Wen renewed appeals for assurances from Washington about the safety of China's $800 billion in foreign exchange reserves invested in U.S. Treasury securities. Wen said the value of the U.S. dollar was a "big concern" and asked Washington to take unspecified steps to reassure investors. Wen also fired back at critics of China's performance at the last year's Copenhagen climate change conference. Asked why he skipped a meeting of some foreign leaders, including Obama, Wen said he was snubbed, having never been formally invited, and so sent a vice foreign minister instead. "So far no one has given us any explanation about this and it still is a mystery," he said. When asked if China would play a bigger role in international affairs, Wen said China is still a developing country, focused on improving living standards, and even when rich and powerful, it would not seek to dominate others.


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