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world cannot be kept within the borders of one country. This determines the global nature of the
problem of water scarcity, despite the fact that economically developed countries have managed to
build the structure of the real sector of their economies so that even in those cases when they do not
have
significant water resources, dependence on them practically does not affect the rates of
economic development. This experience is of great importance. It shows that the problem of a
shortage of fresh water can, in principle, be solved. Its solution
depends on whether modern
civilization will be able to realize its responsibility to the future and reasonably dispose of the
colossal opportunities that it already has today thanks to scientific and technological progress and
the unprecedented development of productive forces in rich countries. But, no matter how
significant scientific, technical and economic achievements are, they must be able to reasonably
dispose of. This requires modern methods of water resources management.
These methods should provide forecasts of
changes in available resources, a rational
determination of the need for them and their effective distribution among users, and all three noted
aspects are different, but closely interrelated aspects of a single problem complex. This is the only
way to ensure that the solution of each particular problem is consistent with the general goal -
overcoming water deficit on the basis of the principles of sustainable development. These methods
should provide forecasts of changes in available resources, a rational determination of the need for
them and their effective distribution among users, and all three noted aspects are different, but
closely interrelated aspects of a single problem complex. This is the
only way to ensure that the
solution of each particular task is consistent with the general goal - overcoming water deficit on the
basis of the principles of sustainable development. These methods should provide forecasts of
changes in available resources, a rational determination of the need for them and their effective
distribution among users, and all three noted aspects are different, but closely interrelated aspects of
a single problem complex. This is the only way to ensure that the solution of each particular task is
consistent with the general goal - overcoming water deficit on the basis of the principles of
sustainable development.
As you know, the reservoir is divided into two zones - the
zone of formation of water
resources and the zone of their consumption. In the formation zone, there is a long-term regulation
of the river flow, which is carried out by reservoirs to accumulate part of the river flow in high-
water years and the subsequent distribution of this resource in low-water years, and in the
consumption zone there is a seasonal regulation reservoir, which is designed to meet the needs of
various water users and water consumers with a given degree security. The input flow in the finite
reservoir model is a Wiener process with positive drift and variance, where a reward is paid for each
unit of water released from the reservoir.
Wiener process-this is
mathematical model Brownian
motion or random walk from continuous time. It is necessary to construct a control strategy that is
optimal for the maximum average income per unit of time so that the optimal policies belong to the
class of monotonic control strategies [3, 4, 5, 6].
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