A Shift in Both Supply and Demand (i)
Here we observe a simultaneous increase in demand and decrease in supply. Two outcomes are possible. In panel (a), the equilibrium
price rises from P
1
to P
2
, and the equilibrium quantity rises from Q
1
to Q
2
. In panel (b), the equilibrium price again rises from P
1
to P
2
, but
the equilibrium quantity falls from Q
1
to Q
2
.
A
S
S
hi
hi
f
ft
i
i
B
B
h
th
S
S
FIGURE 3.10
Price of milk
per litre (
€)
Price of milk
per litre (
€)
Quantity of milk
bought
and sold (litres)
Quantity of milk
bought
and sold (litres)
(a) Price rises, quantity rises
(b) Price rises, quantity falls
New
equilibrium
New
equilibrium
Initial equilibrium
Initial
equilibrium
0
0
P
2
P
1
P
2
P
1
Q
1
D
1
D
1
S
1
S
1
S
2
S
2
D
2
D
2
Q
2
Q
2
Q
1
Large
increase in
demand
Small
decrease
in supply
Large
decrease
in supply
Small
increase in
demand
Example: A Change in Both Supply and Demand (ii)
We are now going to look at a slightly different
scenario but with both supply and demand changing together. Assume that forecasters have predicted
a heatwave for some weeks. We know that the hot weather is likely to increase demand for milk and so
the demand curve will shift to the right. However, sellers’ expectations that sales of milk will increase as
a result of the forecasts mean that they take steps to expand production of milk. This would lead to a shift
of the supply curve to the right – more milk is now offered for sale at every price. To analyse this particular
combination of events, we again follow our three steps:
1.
We determine that both curves must shift. The hot weather affects the demand curve because it alters
the amount of milk that consumers want to buy at any given price. At the same time, the expectations
of producers alter the supply curve for milk because they change the amount that firms want to sell at
any given price.
2.
Both demand and supply curves shift to the right: Figure 3.11 illustrates these shifts.
3.
As Figure 3.11 shows, there are three possible outcomes that might result, depending on the relative
size of the demand and supply shifts. In panel (a), where demand increases substantially while supply
rises just a little, the equilibrium price and quantity rises. By contrast, in panel (b), where supply rises
substantially while demand rises just a little, the equilibrium price falls but the equilibrium quantity
rises. In panel (c) the increases in demand and supply are identical and so equilibrium price does not
change. Equilibrium quantity will increase, however. Thus, these events have different effects on the
price of milk although the amount bought and sold in each case is higher. In this instance the effect on
price is ambiguous.
66 PART 2 SUPPLY AND DEMAND: HOW MARKETS WORK
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