Central Bank Independence and Transparency: Evolution and Effectiveness; Christopher Crowe and Ellen E. Meade; imf working Paper 08/119; May 1, 2008



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International Financial Statistics
. Data is generally available up to 2006. The percentage 
inflation rate (
π
) is transformed using the inflation tax transform (
π
/(100+
π
)), which reduces 
heteroskedasticity (and is also preferable from a theoretical perspective, since it has an intuitive 
derivation, namely the inflation tax paid on unremunerated money balances or other nominal 
assets). 
9. Inflation 
Forecasts 
Forecast data is taken from 
Consensus Economics
, covering all available periods. Data for most 
countries is available monthly; for some countries, only bi-monthly data are available. Coverage 
commences in different years (mostly during the 1990s) and is available through end-2006. In 
all cases, the forecast considered here is for the following calendar year.


 23 
Table A1. Country Samples 
Central Bank Independence 
Common to both 
samples
1
Advanced Economies: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, 
France, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Korea, 
Luxembourg, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Portugal, Singapore, Spain, 
Sweden, Switzerland, United Kingdom, United States 
Emerging Market and Developing Economies: Argentina, Bahamas, Barbados, 
Bolivia, Botswana, Brazil, Chile, China, Colombia, Congo, Costa Rica, Egypt, 
Ethiopia, Ghana, Honduras, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Kenya, Lebanon, 
Malaysia, Malta, Mexico, Morocco, Nepal, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Pakistan, Peru, 
Philippines, Poland, Qatar, Romania, Serbia, South Africa, Tanzania, Thailand, 
Turkey, Uganda, Uruguay, Venezuela, Zambia, Zimbabwe 
Crowe-Meade only 
Emerging Market and Developing Economies:
2
Albania, Belarus, Bosnia and 
Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Estonia, 
Guatemala, Jamaica, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, 
Namibia, Oman, Paraguay, Russia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Sri Lanka, Trinidad and 
Tobago, Tunisia, Turkmenistan, United Arab Emirates 
Cukierman, Webb, 
and Neyapti (1992) 
only
3
Panama, Samoa, Taiwan, Province of China 
¹We use the country classification scheme used by the IMF in its 
World Economic Outlook
publication (which 
differs somewhat from the Cukierman, Webb, and Neyapti (1992) classification). Serbia replaces Yugoslavia in the 
updated sample. 
²We dropped these countries due to unavailability of 2003 central bank law. 
3
We group the Crowe-Meade independence scores using the classification of advanced and emerging 
market/developing economies in the IMF’s 
World Economic Outlook
. However, we use Cukierman, Webb, and 
Neyapti (1992) country groupings when replicating their results; the main difference is that they classify Greece, 
Israel, Korea, Portugal, and Singapore as developing countries. 
Transparency¹ 
Advanced Economies (24) 
Australia
, Austria, Belgium, 
Canada
, Finland, France, Germany, 
Greece, 
Iceland
, Ireland, 
Israel
, Italy, 
Korea
, Luxembourg, 
Netherlands, 
New Zealand

Norway
, Portugal, Singapore, Spain, 
Sweden
, Switzerland, 
United Kingdom
, United States 
Emerging Market and 
Developing Economies (13) 
Argentina, China, 
Czech Republic

Hungary
, India, 
Indonesia

Mexico

Poland
, Russia, Slovakia, Slovenia, 
South Africa

Turkey 
¹Countries with formal inflation targeting regimes are noted in italics. 


 24 
Table A2. Construction and Coding of Transparency Measure 
Category of Transparency 
(from Eijffinger and 
Geraats, 2006) 
Questions (from Fry and others, 2000) 
Our coding 
1.1: Is there a statutory objective? 
1: Single objective of price 
stability or price stability objective 
does not conflict with other 
objectives 
.5: Price stability objective 
potentially conflicts with other 
objectives 
0: Objectives do not include price 
stability or no objective 
(1) Political 
1.2: Is there an explicit numerical target for 
prices or inflation? 
1: Yes 
0: No 
2.1: Does the central bank publish surveys 
(conducted by itself or others) that could be 
used to estimate inflation expectations? 
1: Yes 
0: No 
(2) Economic 
2.2: Does central bank publish any 
forward-looking analyses such as 
forecasts? 
1: Words AND numbers / figures 
.5: Words OR numbers / figures 
0: Neither 
3.1: Does central bank publish minutes of 
policy meetings? 
1: Yes 
0: No 
(3) Procedural 
3.3: Does central bank publish voting 
patterns of monetary policy committee? 
1: Yes 
0: No 
4.1: Does central bank publish explanations 
on day policy changed? 
1: Yes 
0: No 
(4) Policy 
4.2: Does central bank publish explanations 
on day policy does not change? 
1: Yes 
0: No 
5.1: Does central bank publish discussion 
of risks to outlook or forecast? 
1: Words AND numbers / figures 
.5: Words OR numbers / figures 
0: Neither 
(5) Operational 
5.2: Does central bank publish discussion 
of shocks or forecast errors after the fact? 
1: Yes 
0: No 
Source: Source for question 1.1 is from the Crowe-Meade CBI measure based on 2003 law. Source for all other 
questions are website and publications of the central banks. For some countries, information in English is provided 
with a delay. We did not consider the language of the information when measuring transparency. Overall transparency 
index defined as the unweighted average of 5 categories; each category is unweighted average of all subcategories. 


 25 

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