Some idea of the
shadow economy
can be found by
measuring any gap between GDP as measured by the
expenditure and income methods. Th
is is because people
will be spending income they have not declared!
Shadow economy:
the output of goods and services not
included in off icial national income figures.
KEY TERM
If the size of the shadow economy is relatively constant,
the rate of economic growth may be calculated reason-
ably accurately. However, even a shadow economy can
make international comparisons of economic growth
rates diffi
cult. Th
is is because the size of the hidden
economy varies between economies. It is infl uenced by
the marginal rates of taxation, the penalties imposed for
illegal activities and tax evasion, the risk of being caught
and social attitudes towards, for example, diff erent
illegal activities.
Offi
cial GDP fi gures may also not provide an accurate
measure of output and changes in output because of low
levels of literacy, non-material goods and services and
the diffi
culties of measuring government spending. In
countries with low levels of literacy, it will be diffi
cult for
the government to gather information about all economic
activity. Some people will be unable to fi ll out tax forms
and others will fi ll them out inaccurately, so estimates
will have to be made for some output. Th
is is a particular
problem in Pakistan, which had an adult literacy rate of
just 58% in 2013 with females having a literacy rate of 45%.
Estimates also have to be made for non-marketed goods
and services. Th
e GDP fi gures only include marketed
goods and services, that is goods and services that are
bought and sold and so have a price attached to them.
Goods and services that are produced and that are either
not traded or are exchanged without money changing hands
go unrecorded. For example, domestic services provided
by homeowners, painting and repairs undertaken by home
owners and voluntary work are not included in the offi
cial
fi gures. Th
e proportion of goods and services that people
produce for themselves and the amount of voluntary work
undertaken vary over time and between countries.
In comparing economic growth rates, it is also
important to consider the nature of economic growth.
A very high rate of economic growth may initially appear
to be very impressive. However, it may not be possible
to sustain this for any length of time if non-renewable
resources are depleted and pollution is created that reduces
the fertility of the land and the health of the labour force.
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