ANNE CASE and ANGUS DEATON
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II.A. Contemporaneous Evidence
For middle-aged whites, there is a strong correlation between median
real household income per person and mortality from 1980 and 2015; an
inverse U-shaped pattern of real income, rising throughout the 1980s and
1990s and falling thereafter, matches the U-shape of mortality, which fell
until 1998 and rose thereafter. After 1990, we can separate out His panics
and look at WNHs, for whom the recent mortality experience was worse
than for whites as a whole. The top panel of figure 14 shows, for households
headed by WNHs age 50–54, real median household income per member
from March supplements of the Current Population Survey (presented
as solid lines), and (unadjusted all-cause) mortality rates for men and
Figure 14.
All-Cause Mortality and Median Household Income per Member
for White Non-Hispanics, 1990–2015
Sources: National Vital Statistics System; Current Population Survey, March supplement; authors’ calculations.
Deaths per 100,000
Deaths per 100,000
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