Japan’s
post-war
economic
success
493
In fact, the complex obstacles in the path of Japanese economic revival were
daunting, and recovery could not be accomplished without a broad and
expanding export trade. With limited natural resources, Japan depends on its
exports to pay for importing materials required to manufacture goods for the
export and domestic markets.
The USA and Japan emerged from the ashes of the Second World War to
begin a new rivalry with a sacrificing USA willing to cede a large degree of its
new found economic influence over Asia to the Japanese. Table I summarizes
many of the key features of the immediate post-war economic and political
relationship between the USA and Japan. This array helps the reader appreciate
the complexity of US concerns over the direction a
beaten and beleagured Japan
might follow if economic recovery did not begin quickly.
Without trade with Asia, Japan, like Europe, depended on US imports. But
how could Japan pay for those imports, especially when nylon’s displacement of
silk eliminated Japan’s only significant dollar-earning export? US relief and
recovery aid sent over $2 billion in imports into Japan from 1945 to June l951,
but aid was unpopular in the USA and served as only a temporary solution to
the problem of insufficient exports and the resultant dollar gap (Redford, 1978,
p. 278).
By 1948 the USA sought to stabilize the Japanese economy and restore
export competitiveness, but global trading conditions could not offer sufficient
demand for Japanese exports (Bank of Japan, 1950, p. 41).
US action was
essential to put to work Japan’s immense unused plant and labor capacity and
thus to secure Japanese allegiance to US policies in Asia.
When US Army officials determined, in 1950, that purchasing labor and
materials in Japan for US military construction in Okinawa had the same
economic effect as increasing Japanese exports, US forces began an intentional
program of “buying Japanese” at the expense of lost business for US
manufacturers. The military, under the terms of the Mutual Defense Assistance
Program (MDAP), had more than $4 billion to spend without the restrictions of
the “Buy American” Act, which required government
orders to be placed with
US firms unless foreign prices were more than 25 percent less (Redford, 1978,
p. 284).
By 1963, military procurement orders would reach a cumulative total of $7.2
billion. Procurement totaled more than $800 million in both 1952 and 1953
(Redford, 1978, p. 290). Long-term procurement was assured by July, 1952, when
the National Security Council decreed that, despite Japan’s favorable dollar
position, owing to procurement, there could be no relaxation of the cooperation
effort. The NSC ordered “that every effort be made to expand Japan’s dollar
earnings from normal commerce and from programs of the US military and
[from] economic assistance to other countries, with a view to avoiding, if
possible, any requirement for direct economic assistance” (National Security
Council, 1952, p. 7).
The USA also decided to tie economic aid bound
for other Asian countries to
purchases of capital goods in Japan. This forced victims of Japanese war-time
Jou
rnal of
Manag
ement
Histo
ry
5,8
494
Japan
USA
Power relationships
Vanquished
Victor
Occupied
Occupier
Aid-dependent
Aid supplier
Trade
Few trading partners
Pre-eminent trading nation after Second World War
Former partners feared and hated Japan
Virtual domination of world markets after Second World War
Increasing desperation to re-establish overseas
Largely self-sufficient
markets for Japanese goods
Growing need
to re-establish raw material
supplier relationships
Industrial base
Huge overcapacity for production
Running at full capacity
Desperate need for overseas customers to
Seeking to scale back and “civilianize” production
stimulate large-scale industrial production
Strong anti-trust, anti-monopoly bias
Huge
zaibatsu industrial combines partially
Initially seeking to destroy
zaibatsu system
replaced by
keiretsu system
Product
characterization
Civilian products seen as cheap imitations of
Finest quality and largest quantity available
Western goods
Competition scarce or non-existent
Need to differentiate its products from competition
Quality is assumed, not a special target or focus
and win acceptance
Quality is widely perceived as major weakness
after Japan’s political image and absence of
venture capital
Political
factors
Wild card. USA fearful Japan may seek
Leader of new Cold War
accommodation with Russian and Chinese
Ideological commitment to keep Japan within western orbit
Communists if economy stagnates
Korean War provides an ideal mechanism to underwrite Japan’s
Korean War serves as catalyst for Japanese
industrial revival
reindustrialization
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