Macroeconomic Models, Forecasting, and Policymaking



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ec 201119 macroeconomic models forecasting and policymaking pdf

Cited Works
“Infl ation Expectations and Infl ation Forecasting,” remarks 
by Chairman Ben S. Bernanke at the Monetary Economics 
Workshop of the National Bureau of Economic Research 
Summer Institute, Cambridge, Massachusetts, July 10, 2007. 
“Robustness in the Strategy of Scientifi c Model Building,” 
George E.P. Box, 1979. In 
Robustness in Statistics: Proceedings of 
a Workshop
. New York: Academic Press. 
“The Evolution of Macro Models at the Federal Reserve 
Board,” by Flint Brayton , Andrew Levin , Ralph Tryon,
John C. Williams. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on 
Public Policy. 
“The Past, Present and Future of Macroeconomic Forecast-
ing,” by Francis X. Diebold, 1998. 
Journal of Economic Perspec-
tives
.
“The Econometrics of DSGE Models,” Jesus Fernandez-
Villaverde, 2009. NBER working paper no. 14677.
“Computing Power and the Power of Econometrics,” James 
D. Hamilton, 2006.
Macroeconomics
, Seventh Edition, Gregory Mankiw, 2009. 
Worth Publishers.
“Theory Ahead of Business Cycle Measurement,” Edward 
C. Prescott, 1986. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, 
Quarterly Review
.
“Expectations and the Neutrality of Money,” Rober E. Lu-
cas, 1972. 
Journal of Economic Theory
, vol. 4.
“Comment on Del Negro, Schorfheide, Smets, andWout-
ers,” Christopher Sims, 2006
. Journal of Business and Economic 
Stataistics.
“DSGE Models and Central Banks,” Camillo Tovar, 2008. 
BIS, working paper no. 258.

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