motion a set of institutional changes that would make the
emergence of inclusive institutions very unlikely. In some of
them they explicitly stamped out whatever burgeoning
industry or inclusive economic institutions existed. Most of
these places would be in no situation to benefit from
industrialization in the nineteenth century or even in the
twentieth.
The dynamics in the rest
of Europe were also quite
different from those in Australia and the United States. As
the Industrial Revolution in Britain was gathering speed at
the end of the eighteenth century, most European countries
were ruled by absolutist regimes, controlled by monarchs
and by aristocracies whose major source of income was
from their landholdings or from trading privileges they
enjoyed thanks to prohibitive entry barriers. The creative
destruction that would be wrought by the process of
industrialization would erode the leaders’ trading profits
and take resources and labor away from their lands. The
aristocracies
would
be
economic
losers
from
industrialization.
More important, they would also be
political losers, as the process of industrialization would
undoubtedly create instability and political challenges to
their monopoly of political power.
But the institutional transitions in Britain and the Industrial
Revolution created new opportunities and challenges for
European states. Though there was absolutism in Western
Europe, the region had also shared much of the institutional
drift that had impacted Britain in the previous millennium.
But the situation was very different in Eastern Europe, the
Ottoman Empire, and China. These differences mattered
for the dissemination of industrialization. Just like the Black
Death or the rise of Atlantic trade, the critical juncture
created by industrialization
intensified the ever-present
conflict over institutions in many European nations. A major
factor was the French Revolution of 1789. The end of
absolutism in France opened the way for inclusive
institutions, and the French ultimately embarked on
industrialization and rapid economic growth. The French
Revolution in fact did more than that. It exported its
institutions by invading and forcibly reforming the extractive
institutions of several neighboring countries. It thus opened
the way to industrialization not only in France, but in
Belgium,
the Netherlands, Switzerland, and parts of
Germany and Italy. Farther east the reaction was similar to
that after the Black Death, when, instead of crumbling,
feudalism intensified. Austria-Hungary, Russia, and the
Ottoman Empire fell even further behind economically, but
their absolutist monarchies managed to stay in place until
the First World War.
Elsewhere in the world, absolutism was as resilient as in
Eastern Europe. This was particularly true in China, where
the Ming-Qing transition led to a state committed to
building a stable agrarian
society and hostile to
international trade. But there were also institutional
differences that mattered in Asia. If China reacted to the
Industrial Revolution as Eastern Europe did, Japan reacted
in the same way as Western Europe. Just as in France, it
took a revolution to change the system, this time one led by
the renegade lords of the Satsuma, Chōshū, Tosa, and Aki
domains. These lords overthrew the shogun, created the
Meiji Restoration, and moved Japan onto the path of
institutional reforms and economic growth.
We also saw that absolutism was resilient in isolated
Ethiopia. Elsewhere on the continent the very same force of
international trade that
helped to transform English
institutions in the seventeenth century locked large parts of
western and central Africa into highly extractive institutions
via the slave trade. This destroyed societies in some
places and led to the creation of extractive slaving states in
others.
The institutional dynamics we have described ultimately
determined which countries took advantage of the major
opportunities present in the nineteenth century onward and
which ones failed to do so. The roots of the world inequality
we observe today can be found in this divergence. With a
few exceptions, the rich countries of today are those that
embarked on the process of industrialization and
technological change starting in the nineteenth century, and
the poor ones are those that did not.