Thinking, Fast and Slow

see also
probability
preference reversals; unjust

---

premonition
, use of word
premortem
pretentiousness language
pricing policies
priming; anchoring as
t=”-5%”>
Princeton University
probability; base rates in, 
see
base rates; decision weights and, 
see
decision weights;
definitions of; and disciplining intuition; less-is-more pattern and; Linda problem
and; overestimation of; plausibility and; and predicting by representativeness; prior,
insensitivity to; professional stereotypes and; of rare events, 
see
rare events;
representativeness and, 
see
representativeness; similarity and; subjective; as sum-like
variable; 
see also
predictions and forecasts
probability neglect
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
professional stereotypes
professorial candidates
prospect theory; in Albert and Ben problem; blind spots of; cumulative; decision weights
and probabilities in; fourfold pattern in; frames and; graph of losses and gains in; loss
aversion in; reference points in
“Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk” (Kahneman and Tversky)
prototypes
psychiatric patients
psychological immune system
psychology, teaching
psychopathic charm
psychophysics
psychotherapists
pundits; 
see also
expert intuition punishments: altruistic; rewards and; self-administered
pupil dilation
questionnaire and gift experiments
questions; substitution of, 
see
substitution

---

Rabin, Matthew
radiologists
rafters, skilled
rail projects
randomness and chance; misconceptions of 
Random Walk Down Wall Street, A
(Malkiel)
rare events; overestimation of; regret and
rational-agent model
rationality
Rationality and the Reflective Mind
(Stanovich)
“>rats
Reagan, Ronald
reciprocal priming
recognition
recognition-primed decision (RPD) model
Redelmeier, Don
reference class forecasting
regression to the mean; causal interpretations and; correlation and; difficulty in grasping;
two-systems view of
“Regression towards Mediocrity in Hereditary Stature” (Galton)
regret
religion
remembering self
Remote Association Test (RAT)
reorganizations in companies
repetition
representativeness; base rates and; 
see also
base rates; in Linda problem; predicting by;
professional stereotypes and; sins of; in Tom W problem
research: artifacts in; hypothesis testing in; optimism in
resemblance; in predictions
resilience
responsibility

---

retrievability of instances
reversals; unjust
rewards; self-administered
Rice, Condoleezza
risk assessment; aggregation and; broad framing in; decision weights in, 
see
decision
weights; denominator neglect and; by experts; and format of risk expression; fourfold
pattern in; for health risks; hindsight bias and; laws and regulations governing; loss
aversion in; narrow framing in; optimistic bias and; policies for; possibility effect
and; precautionary principle and; probability neglect and; public policies and; small
risks and; of technologies; terrorism and; 
see also
gambles
risk aversion
risk seeking
“Robust Beauty of Improper Linear Models in Decision Making, The” (Dawes)
Rosett, Richard
Rosenzweig, Philip
Royal Dutch Shell
Royal Institution
Rozin, Paul
< Philip
Rumsfeld, Donald
Russell Sage Foundation
Russia
Saddam Hussein
sadness
safety; health risks and; health violation penalties and; precautionary principle and
samples, sampling: accidents of; and bias of confidence over doubt; law of large
numbers; law of small numbers; size of; small, exaggerated faith in
Samuelson, Paul
San Francisco Exploratorium
Savage, Jimmie
Save More Tomorrow
Schelling, Thomas

---

Schkade, David
school size
Schwarz, Norbert
Schweitzer, Maurice