The McGraw-Hill Series Economics essentials of economics brue, McConnell, and Flynn Essentials of Economics



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moving average (MA) 
process, that is, the 
u
t
are generated as follows:
u
t
=
ε
t
+
λ
1
ε
t

1
+
λ
2
ε
t

2
+ · · · +
λ
p
ε
t

p
(12.6.19)
where 
ε
t
is a white noise error term, that is, the error term that satisfies all the classical
assumptions.
33
The reason that the original regressor 
X
is included in the model is to allow for the fact that 
X
may not be strictly nonstochastic. But if it is strictly nonstochastic, it may be omitted from the model.
On this, see Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 
Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach,
South-Western
Publishing Co., 2003, p. 386.
guj75772_ch12.qxd 14/08/2008 10:40 AM Page 439


In the chapters on time series econometrics, we will study in some detail the 
p
th-order
autoregressive and moving average processes.
3. If in Eq. (12.6.15) 
p
=
1, meaning first-order autoregression, then the BG test is
known as 
Durbin’s 
M
test.
4. A drawback of the BG test is that the value of 
p
, the length of the lag, cannot be spec-
ified a priori. Some experimentation with the 

value is inevitable. Sometimes one can use
the so-called 
Akaike
and 
Schwarz
information criteria to select the lag length. We will dis-
cuss these criteria in Chapter 13 and later in the chapters on time series econometrics.
5. Given the values of the 
X
variable(s) and the lagged values of 
u
, the test assumes that
the variance of 
u
in Eq. (12.6.15) is homoscedastic.
440
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