The McGraw-Hill Series Economics essentials of economics brue, McConnell, and Flynn Essentials of Economics


Combining cross-sectional and time series data



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Combining cross-sectional and time series data.
A variant of the extraneous or a
priori information technique is the combination of cross-sectional and time series data,
known as 
pooling the data.
Suppose we want to study the demand for automobiles in the
United States and assume we have time series data on the number of cars sold, average
price of the car, and consumer income. Suppose also that
ln
Y
t
=
β
1
+
β
2
ln
P
t
+
β
3
ln
I
t
+
u
t
where
Y
=
number of cars sold,
P
=
average price,
I
=
income, and
t
=
time. Our objective
is to estimate the price elasticity, 
β
2
, and income elasticity, 
β
3
.
In time series data the price and income variables generally tend to be highly collinear.
Therefore, if we run the preceding regression, we shall be faced with the usual multi-
collinearity problem. A way out of this has been suggested by Tobin.
31
He says that if we
have cross-sectional data (for example, data generated by consumer panels, or budget stud-
ies conducted by various private and governmental agencies), we can obtain a fairly reliable
estimate of the income elasticity 
β
3
because in such data, which are at a point in time, the
prices do not vary much. Let the cross-sectionally estimated income elasticity be 
ˆ
β
3
.
Using
this estimate, we may write the preceding time series regression as
Y

t
=
β
1
+
β
2
ln
P
t
+
u
t
where 
Y

=
ln
Y
− ˆ
β
3
ln 
I
, that is, 
Y

represents that value of 
Y
after removing from it the
effect of income. We can now obtain an estimate of the price elasticity 
β
2
from the preced-
ing regression.
Although it is an appealing technique, pooling the time series and cross-sectional data in
the manner just suggested may create problems of interpretation, because we are assuming
implicitly that the cross-sectionally estimated income elasticity is the same thing as that
which would be obtained from a pure time series analysis.
32
Nonetheless, the technique has
been used in many applications and is worthy of consideration in situations where the cross-
sectional estimates do not vary substantially from one cross section to another. An example
of this technique is provided in Exercise 10.26.
3.

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