The McGraw-Hill Series Economics essentials of economics brue, McConnell, and Flynn Essentials of Economics


gross or  simple correlation coefficients



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gross
or 
simple correlation coefficients,
or 
correlation coefficients
of zero order.
These coefficients can be computed by the definition of correlation coeffi-
cient given in Eq. (3.5.13).
But now consider this question: Does, say, 
r
1 2
in fact measure the “true” degree of (lin-
ear) association between 
Y
and 
X
2
when a third variable 
X
3
may be associated with both of
them? This question is analogous to the following question: Suppose the true regression
model is (7.1.1) but we omit from the model the variable 
X
3
and simply regress 
Y
on 
X
2
,
obtaining the slope coefficient of, say, 
b
1 2
. Will this coefficient be equal to the true coeffi-
cient 
β
2
if the model (7.1.1) were estimated to begin with? The answer should be apparent
from our discussion in Section 7.7. In general
r
1 2
is not likely to reflect the true degree of
association between 
Y
and 
X
2
in the presence of 
X
3
. As a matter of fact, it is likely to give a
false impression of the nature of association between 
Y
and 
X
2
, as will be shown shortly.
Therefore, what we need is a correlation coefficient that is independent of the influence,
if any, of 
X
3
on 
X
2
and 
Y
. Such a correlation coefficient can be obtained and is known
appropriately as the 
partial correlation coefficient.
Conceptually, it is similar to the partial
regression coefficient. We define
r
1 2.3
=
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