CHAPTER 1
Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies
1
Dynamics of Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies .......................................... 1
Stage One: Initial Phase ......................................................................................................... 1
Stage Two: Currency Crises ................................................................................................... 5
Stage Three: Full-Fledged Financial Crisis ............................................................................. 6
APPLICATION
Crisis in South Korea, 1997–1998 ...................................................... 7
Financial Liberalization/Globalization Mismanaged ............................................................... 8
Perversion of the Financial Liberalization/Globalization Process: Chaebols
and the South Korean Crisis ............................................................................................. 9
Stock Market Decline and Failure of Firms Increase Uncertainty ......................................... 10
Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard Problems Worsen and the Economy Contracts ........... 11
Currency Crisis Ensues ....................................................................................................... 11
Final Stage: Currency Crisis Triggers Full-Fledged Financial Crisis...................................... 11
Recovery Commences.......................................................................................................... 13
APPLICATION
The Argentine Financial Crisis, 2001–2002 ...................................... 13
Severe Fiscal Imbalances ..................................................................................................... 13
Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard Problems Worsen ....................................................... 14
Bank Panic Begins ............................................................................................................... 14
Currency Crisis Ensues ....................................................................................................... 14
Currency Crisis Triggers Full-Fledged Financial Crisis ........................................................ 15
Recovery Begins................................................................................................................... 17
Global When an Advanced Economy Is Like an Emerging Market Economy:
The Icelandic Financial Crisis of 2008 18
Preventing Emerging Market Financial Crises ...................................................................... 18
Beef Up Prudential Regulation and Supervision of Banks..................................................... 18
Encourage Disclosure and Market-Based Discipline ............................................................. 19
Limit Currency Mismatch .................................................................................................... 19
Sequence Financial Liberalization ........................................................................................ 20
Summary 20 • Key Terms 20 • Questions 21
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