Stocks &Commodities V. 8: (30-36): Peaks And Troughs by Martin J. Pring


Valid peaks and troughs are created when the



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Valid peaks and troughs are created when the
price moves to a new high or low for the move,
or when a reaction to the then-prevailing trend
retraces approximately one-third to two-thirds
of the previous move.


Stocks & Commodities V. 18:5 (30-36): Peaks And Troughs by Martin J. Pring
Copyright (c) Technical Analysis Inc.
peak did not make a new high, and this was confirmed with
a new low, signaling a new bear trend. I cannot say that things
will work out this well every time, because they will not.
However, it is surprising how well this simple tool can help
in improving trading results.
I
N
 
SUMMARY
Price trends are not usually straight-line affairs, but
consist of a series of rallies and reactions.
Downtrends are signaled when a series of rising peaks
and troughs gives way to declining peaks and troughs.
Uptrends are signaled when a series of declining peaks
and troughs gives way to rising peaks and troughs.
When only a peak or trough trend is reversed, half-
signals are signaled. Half-signals are not as reliable as
full signals when both are reversed.
Valid peaks and troughs are created when the price
moves to a new high or low for the move, or when a
reaction to the then-prevailing trend retraces approxi-
mately one-third to two-thirds of the previous move. A
retracement may be smaller in magnitude, provided it
takes between one-third to two-thirds of the time taken
to complete the previous move.
The longer it takes to develop the peak and trough, the
greater the significance of the reversal signal when it is
given.
Martin J. Pring founded the International Institute for Eco-
nomic Research in 1981. He is the author of several books,
including the classic Technical Analysis Explained, and
Introduction To Technical Analysis, the first technical analy-
sis multimedia CD-R
OM
. He pioneered the introduction of
videos as an education tool for technical analysis in 1987,
and was the first to introduce educational interactive CDs in
this field.

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