Russia 111215 Basic Political Developments



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National Economic Trends

December 15, 2011 10:57



Risk of economic slowdown in Russia mounting – Ulyukayev


http://www.interfax.com/newsinf.asp?id=295271
MOSCOW. Dec 15 (Interfax) - The risks of economic slowdown in Russia have mounted lately, Central Bank First Deputy Chairman Alexei Ulyukayev told reporters.

"It seems they have mounted," Ulyukayev said.

Ulyukayev said he still saw a balance between the situation with inflation and economic growth.

He said, thought, that the Central Bank was satisfied with the inflationary situation.

"The situation with inflation is to our satisfaction, both statistically and meaningfully," he said.

Pr

(Our editorial staff can be reached at eng.editors@interfax.ru)



Russia 2011 budget surplus seen at 0.8-1.0 pct of GDP


http://in.reuters.com/article/2011/12/15/russia-budget-idINR4E7MG00W20111215
12:43pm IST

MOSCOW, Dec 15 (Reuters) - Russia may see a budget surplus this year of between 0.8 percent and 1.0 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), the Central Bank First Deputy Chairman Alexei Ulyukayev said on Thursday.

"The finance ministry forcasts (surplus) of around 0.5 percent, I think it will be a bit higher, between 0.8-1.0 percent," Ulyukayev told journalists. (Reporting by Oksana Kobzeva; Writing by Lidia Kelly; Editing by Andrey Ostroukh)
CBR sees 11M capital outflow at $74bn

http://www.rbcnews.com/free/20111215105329.shtml

      RBC, 15.12.2011, Moscow 10:53:29.Net capital outflow from Russia reached about $74bn in January-November 2011, Central Bank of Russia (CBR) First Deputy Chairman Alexey Ulyukayev said. In November, $10bn flowed out of Russia.

      The Finance Ministry raised the full-year capital outflow forecast to $85bn. CBR previously expected the figure to be $70bn.




Russia's Jan-Nov capital flight at $74 bln – cbank


http://in.reuters.com/article/2011/12/15/russia-outflow-idINR4E7MG00V20111215
12:22pm IST

MOSCOW, Dec 15 (Reuters) - Russia saw $74 billion in capital outflows in the first 11 months of the year, Central Bank First Deputy Chairman Alexei Ulyukayev said on Thursday.

Ulyukayev also said that the central bank is satisfied with current inflation trend and that its monetary policy still provides an adequate balance between inflationary risks and risks to economic growth. He added, however, that risks to economic growth are rising. (Reporting by Oksana Kobzeva; Writing by Andrey Ostroukh; Editing by Lidia Kelly)



Business, Energy or Environmental regulations or discussions




Russian markets -- Factors to Watch on Dec 15


http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/12/15/russia-factors-idUSL6E7NF02G20111215
Thu Dec 15, 2011 12:31am EST

MOSCOW, Dec 15 (Reuters) - Here are events and news

stories that could move Russian markets on Thursday.

You can reach us on: +7 495 775 1242

STOCKS CALL (Contributions to moscow.newsroom@reuters.com):

PROMSVYAZBANK: Sees mixed influence from external markets on

Russia's bourses at opening.

OLMA: "Correction on RTS in the first half of the day

possible."

EVENTS (All times GMT):

MOSCOW - Russia's Prime Minister Vladimir Putin holds his

annual televised questions and answers session.

MOSCOW - Mechel to release third-quarter financial

results.

BRUSSELS - Russia-European Union semi-annual summit.

MOSCOW - Weekly gold and foreign exchange data from the

central bank.

MOSCOW - India's Prime Minister Manmohan Singh begins his

visit to Russia.

MOSCOW - Retail in Russia annual conference.

MOSCOW - Transneft holds board meeting.

IN THE PAPERS :

The world's top aluminium producer UC RUSAL has

not managed to secure refinancing of its $11.4 billion debt and

is asking banks to postpone interest payments on the debt until

next year, the business daily Vedomosti reports.

Subaru's plan to produce 30,000 cars a year in Russia makes

sense only if the company receives incentives from the

government, the business daily Vedomosti writes.

Vedomosti runs an interview with Sergei Levin, head of

Russia's United Grain Company.

TOP STORIES IN RUSSIA AND THE CIS :

TOP NEWS:

Russia's Putin likely to end silence on protests

Russian TV struggles with Kremlin control

EU, Russia to discuss Russian euro zone help

COMPANIES/MARKETS:

Russia woos foreign firms to explore for minerals

Sistema to sell 2 pct stake in Thomas Cook

Russia issues 1.1 million ERUs - Point Carbon

Tele2 sees slower growth in Russia

FTSE entry criteria tightened, free float upped

Magnit share issue proceeds rise

Phosagro to consider share buyback

Sistema Q3 net profit rises 75 pct

ECONOMY/POLITICS:

Weekly CPI inflation holds at 0.1 pct

Five charged in German-Russian money-laundering

ENERGY:

Mechel denies purchase of Rostov steel

Gazprom drops Austria from S.Stream gas

Ukraine says will not disrupt gas flow to Europe

COMMODITIES:

Trapped Siberian wheat seeks home in Asia

Rosneft to boost Q1 oil exports via Druzhba-trade

TNK-BP to invest $10 bln in Arctic oil, pipelines

MARKETS CLOSE/LATEST:

RTS 1,352.6 -1.3 pct

MSCI Russia 722.6 -1.3 pct

MSCI Emerging Markets 892.7 -1.2 pct

Russia 30-year Eurobond yield: 4.838/4.798 pct

EMBI+ Russia 339 basis points over

Rouble/dollar 31.8150

Rouble/euro 41.3400

NYMEX crude $95.55 -$3.34

ICE Brent crude $106.04 -$3.00

For Russian bank balances see

For Russian company news, double click on

Treasury news Corporate debt

Russian stocks Russia country guide

All Russian news Scrolling stocks news

Emerging markets top news

Top deals European companies

(Compiled by Lidia Kelly)





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