Chapter 3-Trend and Range
There are many ways which can help traders to potentially tell what type of day is ahead of us.
For Trend days
:
First, strength and follow ups.
On trending days, whether it’s an uptrend or a downtrend, the bar
which initiate the trend usually have decent follow ups. Market has a rhythm, like music. You can
sense the urgency in tempo and strength behind every bar when it’s forming. The determination of one
side is dominating over the other should be fairly obvious.
For example, in a strong uptrend, the chart is filled with green trend bars with average size body, but
closed high. Slowly and consecutively moving upwards which can create a parabolic curve. Any
pullback red bar is short lived with narrow body and long wicks at the bottom. At a glance, there are
just simply more green bars than red bars! Both quality and quantity of the bars create an inevitable
energy, makes you regret not entering earlier.
When a strong uptrend is in progress, it’s very hard to make money selling. But for buyers, you should
see profit not long after you entered. The determination is to push price up and everyone is in sync
buying, nobody is taking profit yet until it reaches a fairly strong supply zone.
Any countertrend
attempt will fail and becomes the most reliable setup to resume the trend.
Wick is very important in price action trading, it shows both rejection and strength. It’s the hidden
truth about domination. In an uptrend, you should see long wicks at the bottoms of the bars, not on top.
It means any selling is being rejected and pushed up. Once you spot these signs, your job is to BUY!
You don’t countertrend and sell, if you do, I’ll be on the other end of you turn your loss into my profit.
The same principles apply for downtrend. More consecutive red bars with average size body, wicks
on top of the bars. Any green bar pullback is small and short-lived.
On June.13 2016, CL had a very strong uptrend. All the green arrows indicate any attempt to sell
below is being bought. There are only 6 red bars, 16 bullish bars. The close of each candle is higher
than previous close. It’s in parabolic curve rather than boxed-in. Day like this, you can buy above or
below any bullish bar, buy the close of red bars (scale in). You have to be in this flow. Market is
trending only 30% of the time.
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