Thinking, Fast and Slow


Speaking of Keeping Score



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Daniel Kahneman - Thinking, Fast and Slow

Speaking of Keeping Score
“He has separate mental accounts for cash and credit purchases. I constantly remind
him that money is money.”
“We are hanging on to that stock just to avoid closing our mental account at a loss.
It’s the disposition effect.”
“We discovered an excellent dish at that restaurant and we never try anything else, to
avoid regret.”
“The salesperson showed me the most expensive car seat and said it was the safest,
and I could not bring myself to buy the cheaper model. It felt like a taboo tradeoff.”
P


Reversals
You have the task of setting compensation for victims of violent crimes. You consider
the case of a man who lost the use of his right arm as a result of a gunshot wound. He
was shot when he walked in on a robbery occurring in a convenience store in his
neighborhood.
Two stores were located near the victim’s home, one of which he frequented more
regularly than the other. Consider two scenarios:
(i) The burglary happened in the man’s regular store.
(ii) The man’s regular store was closed for a funeral, so he did his shopping in the
other store, where he was shot.
Should the store in which the man was shot make a difference to his compensation?
You made your judgment in joint evaluation, where you consider two scenarios at the
same time and make a comparison. You can apply a rule. If you think that the second
scenario deserves higher compensation, you should assign it a higher dollar value.
There is almost universal agreement on the answer: compensation should be the same
in both situations. The compensation is for the crippling injury, so why should the location
in which it occurred make any diff Cmakerence? The joint evaluation of the two scenarios
gave you a chance to examine your moral principles about the factors that are relevant to
victim compensation. For most people, location is not one of these factors. As in other
situations that require an explicit comparison, thinking was slow and System 2 was
involved.
The psychologists Dale Miller and Cathy McFarland, who originally designed the two
scenarios, presented them to different people for single evaluation. In their between-
subjects experiment, each participant saw only one scenario and assigned a dollar value to
it. They found, as you surely guessed, that the victim was awarded a much larger sum if he


was shot in a store he rarely visited than if he was shot in his regular store. Poignancy (a
close cousin of regret) is a counterfactual feeling, which is evoked because the thought “if
only he had shopped at his regular store…” comes readily to mind. The familiar System 1
mechanisms of substitution and intensity matching translate the strength of the emotional
reaction to the story onto a monetary scale, creating a large difference in dollar awards.
The comparison of the two experiments reveals a sharp contrast. Almost everyone
who sees both scenarios together (within-subject) endorses the principle that poignancy is
not a legitimate consideration. Unfortunately, the principle becomes relevant only when
the two scenarios are seen together, and this is not how life usually works. We normally
experience life in the between-subjects mode, in which contrasting alternatives that might
change your mind are absent, and of course WYSIATI. As a consequence, the beliefs that
you endorse when you reflect about morality do not necessarily govern your emotional
reactions, and the moral intuitions that come to your mind in different situations are not
internally consistent.
The discrepancy between single and joint evaluation of the burglary scenario belongs
to a broad family of reversals of judgment and choice. The first preference reversals were
discovered in the early 1970s, and many reversals of other kinds were reported over the
years.

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