metaphor might be the kind of stock buybacks that Katharine Graham made in
the late seventies and eighties. Stock buybacks are controversial—they
usually come from a company that is stalled or whose growth is decelerating.
With buybacks, a CEO is making a rather incredible statement. She’s saying:
The market is wrong. It’s valuing our company so
incorrectly, and clearly has
so little idea where we are heading, that we’re going to spend the company’s
precious cash on a bet that they’re wrong.
Too often, dishonest or egotistical CEOs buy back company stock because
they’re delusional. Or because they want to artificially inflate the stock price.
Conversely, timid or weak CEOs wouldn’t even consider betting on
themselves. In Graham’s case, she made a value judgment; with Buffett’s help
she could see objectively that the market didn’t appreciate the true worth of
the company’s assets. She knew that the reputational hits,
the learning curve,
had all contributed to a suppressed stock price, which aside from reducing
her personal wealth, created a massive opportunity for the company. Over a
short period, she would buy nearly 40 percent of the company’s shares at a
fraction of what they’d later be worth. The stock that Katharine Graham
bought for approximately $20 a share would
less than a decade later be
worth more than $300.
What both Graham and Walsh were doing was adhering to a set of internal
metrics that allowed them to evaluate and gauge their progress while
everyone on the outside was too distracted by supposed
signs of failure or
weakness.
This is what guides us through difficulty.
You might not get into your first choice college. You might not get picked
for the project or you might get passed over for the promotion. Someone
might outbid
you for the job, for your dream house, for the opportunity you
feel everything depends on.
This might happen tomorrow, it might happen
twenty-five years from now. It could last for two minutes or ten years. We
know that everyone experiences failure and adversity, that we’re all subject
to the rules of gravity and averages. What does that mean? It means we’ll
face them too.
As Plutarch finely expressed, “The future bears down upon each one of us
with all the hazards of the unknown.” The only way out is through.
Humble and strong people don’t have the same trouble with these troubles
that egotists do. There are fewer complaints and far less self-immolation.