152
C H A PT E R 6 International Finance and Trade
military spending overseas, and many other items besides the buying
and selling of goods and
services. The most important component of the balance of payments is the
balance of trade
,
which is the net balance of exports and imports of goods and services. A more narrow view
considers only the import and export
of goods and is termed the
merchandise trade balance
.
The merchandise trade balance was positive for the U.S. during the 1950s and 1960s. How-
ever, imports of goods have consistently exceeded exports since the latter part of the 1970s.
The following are exports, imports, and balance on goods amounts in billions of dollars
for selected years at the beginning of each decade starting with 1980 and ending with 2010,
plus data for 2014.
Year
Exports
Imports
Balance on Goods
1980
$224.3
–$249.8
–$25.5
1990
387.4
–498.4
–111.0
2000
772.0
–1,224.4
–452.4
2010
1,288.7
–1,934.6
–645.9
2014
1,632.6
2,374.1
–741.5
Source:
Economic Report of the President
and http://www.bea.gov.
It can be seen that exports of goods increased nearly six times, from $224.3 billion in
1980 to $1,288.7 billion in 2010. However,
over the same period, imports of goods increased
nearly eight times, from $249.8 billion in 1980 to $1,934.6 billion in 2010, and the balance on
goods grew from –$25.5 billion in 1980 to –$645.9 billion in 2010. And, by 2014,
the import-
ing over exporting of goods continued to grow, resulting in a net balance of –$741.5 billion.
Factors that impact international trade balances include the exchange value of the U.S.
dollar relative to other currencies, relative infl ation rates, and economic growth. A relatively
stronger U.S. economy means that
more will be spent on imports, while the weaker foreign
economy means that less will be spent on U.S. exports. A relatively weaker real exchange rate,
where the nominal exchange rate is adjusted for infl ation diff erences, makes for a weaker U.S.
dollar, which lowers the dollar cost of U.S. goods relative to foreign goods.
Table 6.3
shows the U.S. balance of payments statement (also referred to as U.S. inter-
national transactions) for 2014. Balances are
shown for the current account, capital account,
and fi nancial account. Positive numbers refl ect infl ows of funds while negative numbers refl ect
outfl ows of funds. The
Do'stlaringiz bilan baham: