1
Nature
of Behavioral Economics
1.1 Behavioral economics and the standard model
2
What is behavioral economics?
2
Economic
rationality
3
Behavioral perspectives on economic rationality
8
Nature of the standard model
10
Applicability of the standard model
11
1.2 History and evolution of behavioral economics
12
The classical and neoclassical approaches
13
Post-war economic approaches
13
The resurgence of behaviorism in economics
14
1.3 Relationship with other disciplines
15
Evolutionary
biology
15
Cognitive
neuroscience
17
1.4 Objectives, scope and structure
19
Objectives
19
Structure
19
1.5
Summary
20
1.6 Review
questions
20
1.7 Applications
20
Case 1.1
Loss aversion in monkeys
21
Case 1.2
Money illusion
23
Case 1.3
Altruism – the joy of giving
26
CHAPTER
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1
2
I N T R O D U C T I O N
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•
I
At the time of writing (August 2011), fi nancial markets around the world have been
leaping up and down with wild abandon for four years. The fi nancial crisis, normally
dated from 2007 to 2009, is certainly not yet over. Many markets, certainly in the US,
made a good recovery after 2009, only to plunge once more this summer. For the fi rst
time in history the US lost its AAA rating for Treasury bonds, as
the government teetered
on the edge of default. Currencies also have been subject to violent fl uctuations in
value, as the European Monetary Union has been threatened by the fi nancial problems
of various European governments, notably Greece.
But how can the world’s stock markets lose 5% or more in value in a single
day? According to standard economic theory market value should be a refl ection of
companies’ long-term economic prospects in terms of output and growth, referred to
as their economic fundamentals, and these cannot possibly change so quickly. There
must be something else happening here. Financial markets are notoriously fi ckle,
and while much of this may have to do with ever-changing expectations of investors
regarding uncertain future prospects, at times of crisis one cannot help but surmise
more systematic failings of economic rationality. In the 1930s, Keynes
coined the term
‘animal spirits’ as an emotive urge to action in the absence of that action’s justifi cation
on conventional grounds of economic rationality.
Similar factors have also affected commodity and housing markets. Many
countries experienced a property boom in the years leading up to 2007. Not only
have prices fallen substantially since then, but house owners have also been reluctant
to sell at these lower prices, as banks have been reluctant to write off bad debt
in time. This displays another psychological phenomenon known as the endowment
effect: individuals are reluctant to part with what they have acquired even if this is the
economically rational thing to do.
We cannot hope to understand these anomalies in standard economic theory
unless we also consider the behavioral factors involved. This, in a nutshell, is the focus
of
behavioral economics, and this textbook.
1.1 Behavioral economics and the standard model
What is behavioral economics?
Economic phenomena relate to any aspect of human behavior that involves the
allocation of scarce resources; thus economics is very wide-ranging in its subject area.
For example, all of the following can be described as economic phenomena, although
they may also of course involve other disciplines of study: searching for a future spouse
on the internet, watching a documentary on television, making a charitable donation,
giving a lift to one’s neighbor in order to make it easier to ask them for a favor later,
deciding to take a nap rather than mow the lawn, teaching one’s
child to play tennis,
and going to church.
Economics, like any other social science, is concerned with developing theories
whose ultimate aim it is to help us better understand the world we live in. Economic
theories attempt to describe and explain relationships between economic phenomena.
I N T R O D U C T I O N
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N AT U R E O F B E H A V I O R A L E C O N O M I C S
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In order to do this they need to proceed on the basis of a number of assumptions or
premises. Sometimes these assumptions are made explicit, but in many cases they are
implicit, and it is often important to tease out these implicit assumptions: if a theory
proves to be inaccurate in its empirical implications this tells us that if we have deduced
these implications correctly from the underlying assumptions of the theory, we should
query those assumptions themselves.
This is where behavioral economics is relevant. As Camerer and Loewenstein
(2004) succinctly put it:
Behavioral economics increases the explanatory
power of economics by
providing it with more realistic psychological foundations (p. 3).
Hence, behavioral economics is not seeking to replace the standard framework of
analysis. It seeks to add to this framework:
It is important to emphasize that the behavioral economics approach extends
rational choice and equilibrium models; it does not advocate abandoning these
models entirely (Ho, Lim and Camerer, 2006, p. 308).
In order to understand these claims, and also to understand various critiques of
behavioral economics, let us examine the major assumptions underlying the standard
model, and then consider various important and widespread phenomena that this
model has run into some diffi culty to explain.
As we will also see, however, unrealistic assumptions
as such may still yield
useful empirical insights. It is diffi cult to conceive of economic theories that are not
built on some kind of abstraction from the rich complexity of economic phenomena.
In many ways, debates in economics on the strengths and weaknesses of the standard
model are debates on useful and less useful ways of arriving at economic concepts
and theories through abstraction from concrete phenomena. Methodological
considerations are thus at the heart of many debates in behavioral economics, and
the best starting point for understanding these debates is to look at some of the
methodological foundations of economic rationality and how they are captured
within the standard model.
Economic rationality
Throughout this book we will make reference to a ‘standard model’ of economic
rationality, and we will draw comparisons between this model and various theories in
behavioral economics. Two points of caution should be noted at this stage:
1
While we refer to a standard model of economic rationality
as if it were a static and
monolithic body of theory, regarding which economists are in universal agreement,
there are numerous controversies within that model and its boundaries are not
precisely delineated.
2
The various approaches and analytical frameworks in behavioral economics also
constitute a dynamic, shifting body of theory; many economists would agree that
behavioral economics, instead of offering a single coherent behavioral model of
rationality as an alternative to the standard model, currently resembles a somewhat
ad hoc
collection
of hypotheses, many of which are mutually confl icting in terms of
their premises and predictions.