The McGraw-Hill Series Economics essentials of economics brue, McConnell, and Flynn Essentials of Economics


Errors of Measurement in the Dependent Variable



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Errors of Measurement in the Dependent Variable 
Y
Consider the following model:
Y

i
=
α
+
β
X
i
+
u
i
(13.5.1)
26
R. F. Engle, “A General Approach to Lagrangian Multiplier Model Diagnostics,” 
Journal of 
Econometrics,
vol. 20, 1982, pp. 83–104.
guj75772_ch13.qxd 16/08/2008 03:24 PM Page 482


Chapter 13
Econometric Modeling: Model Specification and Diagnostic Testing
483
where 
Y

i
=
permanent consumption expenditure
27
X
i
=
current income
u
i
=
stochastic disturbance term
Since
Y

i
is not directly measurable, we may use an observable expenditure variable
Y
i
such that
Y
i
=
Y

i
+
ε
i
(13.5.2)
where 
ε
i
denote errors of measurement in 
Y

i
. Therefore, instead of estimating Eq. (13.5.1),
we estimate
Y
i
=
(
α
+
β
X
i
+
u
i
)
+
ε
i
=
α
+
β
X
i
+
(
u
i
+
ε
i
)
(13.5.3)
=
α
+
β
X
i
+
v
i
where 
v
i
=
u
i
+
ε
i
is a composite error term, containing the population disturbance term
(which may be called the 
equation error term
) and the measurement error term.
For simplicity assume that 
E
(
u
i
)
=
E
(
ε
i
)
=
0, cov (
X
i
,
u
i
)
=
0 (which is the assumption
of the classical linear regression), and cov (
X
i
,
ε
i

=
0; that is, the errors of measurement in
Y

i
are uncorrelated with 
X
i
, and cov (
u
i
,
ε
i

=
0; that is, the equation error and the mea-
surement error are uncorrelated. With these assumptions, it can be seen that 
β
estimated
from either Eq. (13.5.1) or Eq. (13.5.3) will be an unbiased estimator of the true 
β
(see
Exercise 13.7); that is, the errors of measurement in the dependent variable 
Y
do not destroy
the unbiasedness property of the OLS estimators. However, the variances and standard
errors of 
β
estimated from Eqs. (13.5.1) and (13.5.3) will be different because, employing
the usual formulas (see Chapter 3), we obtain
Model (13.5.1):
var (
ˆ
β
)
=
σ
2
u
x
2
i

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