New models, new challenges
In theory, Platforms can scale quickly. By side-
stepping time-, labor-, and capital-intensive
manufacturing or service delivery activities,
Platforms can expand at near-zero marginal cost.
However, in agricultural markets, Platforms have
major hurdles to reaching critical mass. Buyers,
agribusinesses, and service providers only want
to join if there are enough farmers to transact
with. But recruiting and engaging those farmers
requires fierce competition and substantial
upfront investments in supporting services,
infrastructure, and partnerships to reach sparsely
distributed customers. Lacking enough patient
capital, many players run out of cash before they
can bring enough users on board to trigger crucial
network effects.
Once scale is reached, the next challenge becomes
sustaining it over the long term. The localized
nature of agriculture limits network effects,
making Platforms particularly vulnerable to
competition. At the same time, because most
agricultural transactions happen in person, the
risk of users bypassing the Platform altogether
is high. Finally, Platforms face the challenge of
landing on the right monetization strategy. For
a revenue model to be viable, they must solve a
large enough market friction to create additional
value for users and be able to capture part of that
value without discouraging users from joining or
transacting through the Platform. However, in a
smallholder market characterized by low value
transactions, the excess value created by
Platforms may be too small to share between
farmers, buyers, sellers, and the Platform itself.
Faced with this variety of challenges, Platform
operators are experimenting with a wide range of
service delivery models—with no winning models
emerging just yet. But we remain optimistic about
the potential for commercial viability. Interest
and investment in the sector is healthy, and a
handful of players (particularly in more mature
markets like India) have reached critical mass,
monetized their user base, and even attracted
commercial funding.
While the promise of Platforms is high, global
experience tells a cautionary tale. As Platforms
scale, they often accumulate significant market
power. Examples abound of the ways in
which this power can lead to less competition,
displacement of vendors and vulnerable small
and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), lower
workforce protections, a more significant income
divide with those users who can not easily
connect and data and security issues. This is
shaped, in part, by the way in which Platforms
create governance systems, rules, and approaches
to managing scale in their network of users.
These downside risks must be weighed carefully
by regulators against the positive outcomes that
can potentially be achieved for all users.
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