Microsoft Word Kurzweil, Ray The Singularity Is Near doc



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Kurzweil, Ray - Singularity Is Near, The (hardback ed) [v1.3]

Dealing with Abuse.
Broad relinquishment is contrary to economic progress and ethically unjustified given the 
opportunity to alleviate disease, overcome poverty, and clean up the environment. As mentioned above, it would 
exacerbate the dangers. Regulations on safety—essentially fine-grained relinquishment—will remain appropriate. 
However, we also need to streamline the regulatory process. Right now in the United States, we have a five- to 
ten-year delay on new health technologies for FDA approval (with comparable delays in other nations). The harm 
caused by holding up potential lifesaving treatments (for example, one million lives lost in the United States for each 
year we delay treatments for heart disease) is given very little weight against the possible risks of new therapies. 
Other protections will need to include oversight by regulatory bodies, the development of technology-specific 
"immune" responses, and computer-assisted surveillance by law-enforcement organizations. Many people are not 
aware that our intelligence agencies already use advanced technologies such as automated keyword spotting to monitor 
a substantial flow of telephone, cable, satellite, and Internet conversations. As we go forward, balancing our cherished 
rights of privacy with our need to be protected from the malicious use of powerful twenty-first-century technologies 
will be one of many profound challenges. This is one reason such issues as an encryption "trapdoor" (in which law-
enforcement authorities would have access to otherwise secure information) and the FBI's Carnivore e-mail-snooping 
system have been controversial.
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As a test case we can take a small measure of comfort from how we have dealt with one recent technological 
challenge. There exists today a new fully nonbiological self-replicating entity that didn't exist just a few decades ago: 
the computer virus. When this form of destructive intruder first appeared, strong concerns were voiced that as they 


became more sophisticated, software pathogens had the potential to destroy the computer-network medium in which 
they live. Yet the "immune system" that has evolved in response to this challenge has been largely effective. Although 
destructive self-replicating software entities do cause damage from time to time, the injury is but a small fraction of 
the benefit we receive from the computers and communication links that harbor them. 
One might counter that computer viruses do not have the lethal potential of biological viruses or of destructive 
nanotechnology. This is not always the case; we rely on software to operate our 911 call centers, monitor patients in 
critical-care units, fly and land airplanes, guide intelligent weapons in our military campaigns, handle our financial 
transactions, operate our municipal utilities, and many other mission-critical tasks. To the extent that software viruses 
do not yet pose a lethal danger, however, this observation only strengthens my argument. The fact that computer 
viruses are not usually deadly to humans only means that more people are willing to create and release them. The vast 
majority of software-virus authors would not release viruses if they thought they would kill people. It also means that 
our response to the danger is that much less intense. Conversely, when it comes to self-replicating entities that ate 
potentially lethal on a large scale, our response on all levels will be vastly more serious. 
Although software pathogens remain a concern, the danger exists today mostly at a nuisance level. Keep in mind 
that our success in combating them has taken place in an industry in which there is no regulation and minimal 
certification for practitioners. The largely unregulated computer industry is also enormously productive. One could 
argue that it has contributed more to our technological and economic progress than any other enterprise in human 
history. 
But the battle concerning software viruses and the panoply of software pathogens will never end. We are 
becoming increasingly reliant on mission-critical software systems, and the sophistication and potential 
destructiveness of self-replicating software weapons will continue to escalate. When we have software running in our 
brains and bodies and controlling the world's nanobot immune system, the stakes will be immeasurably greater. 

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