The Next 100 Years

RUSSIA
RUSSIA
KAZAKHSTAN
KAZAKHSTAN
UZBEKISTAN
UZBEKISTAN
TURKMENISTAN
TURKMENISTAN
KYRGYZSTAN
KYRGYZSTAN
TAJIKISTAN
TAJIKISTAN
AZERBAIJAN
AZERBAIJAN
ARMENIA
ARMENIA
GEORGIA
GEORGIA
UKRAINE
UKRAINE
MOLDOVA
MOLDOVA
BELARUS
BELARUS
LITHUANIA
LITHUANIA
LATVIA
LATVIA
ESTONIA
ESTONIA
Moscow
Moscow
St. Petersburg
St. Petersburg
RUSSIA
KAZAKHSTAN
UZBEKISTAN
TURKMENISTAN
KYRGYZSTAN
TAJIKISTAN
AZERBAIJAN
ARMENIA
GEORGIA
UKRAINE
MOLDOVA
BELARUS
LITHUANIA
LATVIA
ESTONIA
Moscow
St. Petersburg
Successor States to
Soviet Union
Soviet Allies
Successor States to the Soviet Union
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Ukraine. Russian influence is now increasing in three directions: toward Cen-
tral Asia, toward the Caucasus, and, inevitably, toward the West, the Baltics,
and Eastern Europe. For the next generation, until roughly 2020, Russia’s
primary concern will be reconstructing the Russian state and reasserting
Russian power in the region.
Interestingly, the geopolitical shift is aligning with an economic shift.
Vladimir Putin sees Russia less as an industrial power than as an exporter of raw
materials, the most important of which is energy (particularly natural gas).
Moving to bring the energy industry under state supervision, if not direct con-
trol, he is forcing out foreign interests and reorienting the industry toward ex-
ports, particularly to Europe. High energy prices have helped stabilize Russia’s
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