The long-run supply of labour
Th
is is of particular signifi cance for the economy as
a whole. Th
ere are important contrasts here between
developed and developing economies, involving wider
economic factors including the following:
■
The size of the population: In some developed economies,
the total population is relatively stable; in others it is
increasing at a modest rate mainly due to increasing
immigration. In contrast, the population of Italy is
actually declining quite markedly. With life expectancy
increasing, there are relatively fewer people of working
age. In contrast, in most developing economies there is
an increase in the overall supply of labour from within
mainly due to higher birth rates and improved medical care
for young children. Consequently, increasing numbers of
young people join the labour market. This means the
long-run supply curve for labour shift s to the right,
indicating that more workers are willing to supply their
labour at a given wage rate.
■
The labour participation rate: This term is used to
determine the proportion of the population of working age
actually in employment. In many developed economies,
workers oft en choose to leave the labour market, by taking
‘early retirement’, before the normal age for retirement,
so reducing the labour participation rate. At the lower
end of the age range, with more students electing for
higher education, the labour participation rate is also
falling slightly. The combined eff ect has been for a slight
reduction in the labour participation rate, so shift ing the
long-run labour supply curve to the left .
■
The tax and benefits levels: As we saw earlier in
Figure 8.11
,
there comes a point where the work–leisure trade-off
aff ects an individual’s labour supply. This also aff ects the
supply of labour for the economy as a whole, particularly
in developed economies. Governments therefore have
to be very careful in their taxation and social security
policies to ensure that the long-run supply of labour is not
adversely aff ected through a reduction in the willingness
of people to work. In the UK, the top rate of income tax
was reduced from 50% to 45% in 2013 – 20 years ago it was
much more progressive, with marginal tax rates as high
as 80% of the increase in income for the highest-paid. In
such circumstances, there is clearly a huge disincentive
for someone to stay in the labour market. The level of
unemployment and social security payments can also
aff ect the long-run supply of labour in a similar way as we
saw earlier. Through their supply side policies, therefore,
governments seek to provide incentives for certain types
of labour to remain active in the labour market (see
Chapter 5
).
■
Immigration and emigration: These aff ect the long-run
supply of labour in an economy. Where there are labour
shortages, as was the case in the UK during the late 1950s
and early 1960s, migrants moved from Commonwealth
countries such as Barbados, Jamaica, Bangladesh, India
and Pakistan, oft en to work in relatively low-pay industries
and the public services. This increased the supply of
labour. Emigration from these countries in turn relieved
pressures in their labour markets. In the past, the UK has
faced labour shortages in nursing, teaching and ‘high-tech’
industries as well as in other skilled manual occupations.
Since 2004, the geographical enlargement of the EU
has seen a huge influx of well over one million migrant
workers from the new member states in Central and
Eastern Europe.
Th
e above factors determine the long-run supply of labour.
Shift s to the left and to the right in the long-run supply of
labour are shown in
Figure 8.13.
In the long run, the supply of labour to a particular
fi rm, as distinct from the economy, is infl uenced by the net
advantages of a job. Th
ese include pecuniary advantages
and non-pecuniary advantages.
Number of workers employed
0
W
age rate
L
1
L
2
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