Chapter 4: The macroeconomy
TOP TIP
There is commonly confusion between the items that go
in the income part of the current account and those that
go in the financial account. The names of the two parts
provide clear guidance. Remember that the financial
investment goes in the financial
account whereas the
income that the investment generates goes in the
income part.
Balance of payments disequilibria
When economists discuss balance of payments defi cits
and surpluses they are discussing defi cits and surpluses
on one or other of the accounts within the balance of
payments. Most focus is usually
placed on a defi cit on
the current account of the balance of payments.
Causes of a current account deficit
Th
ese include:
■
A growing domestic economy: When firms are increasing
their output, they may buy more raw materials and
capital goods from abroad. As well as import expenditure
increasing, export revenue may decline as a result of
exports being diverted from
the foreign to the domestic
market. This cause of a current account deficit is not
likely to be considered to be a problem. This is because
a growing economy is likely to attract foreign direct
investment, which will lead to credit items in the financial
account to off set the debit items in the current account.
It is also likely to be short-term and to be self-correcting.
As the country’s firms use the imported raw materials and
capital
goods to produce more products, they are likely to
sell more products both abroad and at home. So export
revenue may rise to match the higher import expenditure.
■
Declining economic activity in trading partners: If the
countries that buy this country’s imports experience
recessions or slowdowns in economic growth, their
import expenditure may fall or rise more slowly.
A current account deficit that
arises from either change
in the economic cycle of the domestic economy or the
economies of trading partners is sometimes referred to
as a cyclical deficit. It is not usually considered to be a
problem as, noted above, it will be relatively short-term
and is likely to be self-correcting.
■
Structural problems: A current
account deficit that lasts
over the long run is more of a concern. This is because
it indicates that domestic firms are not internationally
competitive and that the country may have to borrow to
finance the surplus spending. There are a number of causes
of a lack of international competitiveness. These include an
overvalued
exchange rate, a relatively high inflation rate,
low labour and capital productivity. A structural deficit is a
cause of concern as it will not be self-correcting.
TOP TIP
Students oft en write that a trade deficit arises when
imports exceed exports. Remember, however, a trade
deficit
arises not when the
quantity
of imports is greater
than the
quantity
of exports. It occurs when the
value
of imports (price
×
quantity) is greater than the
value
of
imports.
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