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Economic Growth I:
Capital Accumulation
and Population Growth
The question of growth is nothing new but a new disguise for an age-old issue,
one which has always intrigued and preoccupied economics: the present versus
the future.
—James Tobin
7
C H A P T E R
I
f you have ever spoken with your grandparents about what their lives were like
when they were young, most likely you learned an
important lesson about eco-
nomic growth: material standards of living have improved substantially over
time for most families in most countries. This advance comes from rising incomes,
which have allowed people to consume greater quantities of goods and services.
To measure economic growth, economists use data on gross domestic product,
which measures the total income of everyone in the economy. The real GDP of
the United States today is more than five times its 1950 level, and real GDP per per-
son is more than three times its 1950 level. In any given year, we also observe large
differences in the standard of living among countries. Table 7-1 shows the 2007
income per person in the world’s 14 most populous countries. The United States
tops the list with an income of $45,790 per person. Bangladesh has an income per
person of only $1,242—less than 3 percent of the figure for the United States.
Our goal in this part of the book is to understand what causes these differ-
ences in income over time and across countries. In Chapter 3 we identified the
factors of production—capital and labor—and the production technology as the
sources of the economy’s output and, thus, of its total income. Differences in
income, then, must come from differences in capital, labor, and technology.
Our primary task in this chapter and the next is to develop a theory of eco-
nomic growth called the Solow growth model. Our analysis in Chapter 3
enabled us to describe how the economy produces and uses its output at one
point in time. The analysis was static—a snapshot of the economy. To explain why
our national income grows, and why some economies grow faster than others,
we must broaden our analysis so that it describes changes in the economy over
time. By developing such a model, we make our analysis dynamic—more like a
192
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P A R T I I I
Growth Theory: The Economy in the Very Long Run
movie than a photograph. The Solow growth model shows how saving, popula-
tion growth, and technological progress affect the level of an economy’s output
and its growth over time. In this chapter we analyze the roles of saving and pop-
ulation growth. In the next chapter we introduce technological progress.
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