. Thus the new time
on non-instructional activities. These two models highlight that the effects of CAI estimated in
the literature may stem from differences in the quality of the two types of instruction or changes
in productive instructional time.
In practice, many empirical studies identify the effects of ICT investment using policies
that increase investment in technology at “treated” schools but not at “control” schools without
Note that time not allocated to active teacher or computer instruction is modeled to have no academic
for whatever the students would have been doing during this time, which may have been independent
learning. Thus the estimated effect of CAI in this model may be the benefit of CAI relative to independent
12
an offsetting reduction in traditional resources. For example, policies exploited by Angrist and
Lavy (2002) and Leuven et al. (2007) create some schools that are “winners” and receive larger
shares of national ICT investment.
11
These designs seem to favor finding a positive effect
relative to a design in which investment must satisfy the budget constraint. Specifically, there
does not need to be an offsetting reduction in traditional resources. That is, these designs may
estimate [
∂A/∂C + ∂A/∂T
C
*∂T
C
/∂C] – [∂A/∂T
S
*∂T
S
/∂S] without the offsetting effect ∂A/∂S.
Further, there could be an income effect that increases investment in traditional resources (e.g. if
funding normally used for computers is used to hire teachers’ aides). Thus a positive effect could
be found even if the marginal dollar of investment in technology is not more effective than the
marginal dollar invested in traditional resources, and (perhaps) even if technology has no benefit
for educational production. Despite the fact that these designs favor finding positive effects, they
could nonetheless produce negative estimates if time is reallocated to computer-based instruction
and this has smaller returns than traditional instruction (e.g. if a high fraction of computer time is
non-instructional). It is also possible that schools may reallocate funds away from traditional
instruction to maintain or support investments in technology.
An analogous discussion is relevant for interpreting the results in the CAI literature. If
CAI substitutes for traditional instruction, then the estimated effect is a comparison of the
marginal effects of traditional instruction and CAI (i.e.
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