6.2 Other cost–benefit considerations
6.2.1 How early is early?
In Box 4, the USAID and DFID models assume that ‘early’
means before negative coping strategies are employed.
However, in an assessment of the 2015 drought in Somali
region, Ethiopia, evidence suggested that people started to
be affected a full two years before the crisis was formally
recognised. This example raises the question how early is
early enough? It also suggests that FbA would be more
effective if longer-term development interventions were
more explicitly focused on building the resilience of
vulnerable populations to address chronic drought risk.
There is however little empirical evidence regarding the
‘right’ timing: assessments of the impact of intervening just
before the crisis, as compared to six months beforehand,
for example, are non-existent.
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