Forecasting hazards, averting disasters

4.3   Standard resource allocation 

processes

Forecast-informed decision-making processes are 

often also resource allocation processes. For instance, 

WFP’s El Niño Defensive Procurement exercise linked 

forecasts of El Niño impacts on WFP’s supply chain to 

procurement actions designed to limit those impacts. In 

another example, local governments in the Philippines 

are increasingly using a specific allocation for disaster 

risk reduction, the Local Disaster Risk Reduction and 

Management Fund, before a disaster strikes. Funding is 

at least 10% of the internal revenue allocation of each 

local government unit, with 70% for DRR and 30% for 

rapid response. Local governments are also using parts of 

this allocation for early action, and policy-level advocacy 

is ongoing to enable this shift.

Scaling up social protection based on an early warning has been trialled with 

the Kenya Hunger Safety Net Programme. © Marisol Grandon/Department for 

International Development

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