O‘zbеkiston rеspublikasi oliy va o‘rta maxsus ta'lim vazirligi toshkеnt davlat iqtisodiyot univеrsitеti

Chapter 12. Application of production functions in the forecasting
of economic indicators ..139
12.1. Application of production functions in the forecasting ..139
12.2. General understanding of extrapolation methods ..139
12.3. One definition time series models 140
12.4. Methods of extrapolating forecasting …………………………………………….142
12.5. Average smoothing method ………………………………………………………143
Summary 144
Questions for Review 144
Recommended Literature 145
Chapter 13. Seasonal fluctuations ..146
13.1. General overview: seasonal fluctuations ..146
13.2. Identification problems in the econometric models ..148
13.3. Unlinear regression models and their identification ..150
Summary 153
Questions for Review 153
Recommended Literature 154
The features of using modern pedagogical technique in delivering lecture on:
“The basics of economico-mathematical modeling” ..……………………………………..155
Glossary ..158
List of used literature ..163
The typical working plan ……………………………………………………………………168
References 188

1¹ 4.10-4.12-ðàñìëàðäà íîðìàë ýãðè ÷èçè= îñòèäàãè ìîñ ôèãóðàëàð þçàëàðè øàðòëè ðàâèøäà ñòðåëêàëàð áèëàí áåëãèëàíãàí

1¹ Ëàïëàñ ôóíêöèÿñè íèíã =èéìàòëàðèíè èëîâàäàãè II-æàäâàë áûéè÷à àíè=ëàéìèç.

1 ^ Ko‘rsatkichlar bog’lanishlarini ifodalovchi, korrelyatsiya koeffitsientlari matritsasi ham, katta to‘plamlar uchun, o‘nlab va yuzlab sonlarga ega bo‘lishi mumkin, va tabiiy, u ham bog’lanishlarni “qisqa ifodalash” uchun xizmat qila olmaydi. Shuning uchun, bu matritsa ham qayta ishlanib, qisqartirilishi mumkin. Omiliy tahlil - xuddi shu imkoniyatni beradi.

2 ^ Ma’lumotlar matritsasiga xos iboralar bilan aytsak, omiliy tahlildagi asosiy maqsad: ham korrelyatsiyalar matritsasini (